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China, Africa, and the geopolitics of lithium
Nov 09, 2023

China, Africa, and the geopolitics of lithium

The course of the global energy transition may be determined by the effectiveness of Africa’s lithium exploration negotiations with China

China-India data sharing for early flood warning in the Brahmaputra: A critique
Dec 04, 2019

China-India data sharing for early flood warning in the Brahmaputra: A critique

This brief makes an assessment of the data-sharing arrangement between China and India as outlined in the Memorandum of Understanding for sharing hydrological information on the Brahmaputra river system, aimed at facilitating advance warning for floods in India during monsoon. Using hydro-meteorological data, this brief assesses the arrangement and identifies its limitations, primary of which is the wrong choice for the location of measuring stat

China-made electric vehicles: Geopolitics at the wheel
May 15, 2024

China-made electric vehicles: Geopolitics at the wheel

The West sees China's investments and capacities in low-carbon energy as a security threat instead of recognising its role in boosting RE’s global s

China-Nepal military relations: Risks and opportunities for India
Apr 20, 2024

China-Nepal military relations: Risks and opportunities for India

The recent visits by Chinese military delegations to Nepal suggest a deepening of China's engagement in the region, which could have implications for

China-Philippines relations: Will joint military exercises improve ties?
Aug 18, 2023

China-Philippines relations: Will joint military exercises improve ties?

The hope that these drills will result in the deepening of strategic ties between the two nations remains highly unlikely, given Beijing’s unwilling

China-Turkey extradition treaty and implications on Uyghurs
Jan 05, 2021

China-Turkey extradition treaty and implications on Uyghurs

Ankara will face pressure from within and outside its Parliament if it ratifies the extradition treaty with China.

China: From trade to security in Asia, catching the dragon by its tail
Nov 02, 2020

China: From trade to security in Asia, catching the dragon by its tail

The ‘great divide’ between Washington and Beijing that had simmered for many years before Trump came to office, has crystallised into open hostili

China’s 2018 Military Budget: New numbers, old worries
Mar 12, 2018

China’s 2018 Military Budget: New numbers, old worries

This year’s defence budget marks an increase of 8.1 percent from last year. China has justified its defence budget by arguing that its defence spending is less than 1.5 percent of its GDP, but that argument is not going to go down well with its neighbours.

China’s banking crisis is a litmus test of Xi’s anti-corruption campaign
Jul 18, 2022

China’s banking crisis is a litmus test of Xi’s anti-corruption campaign

The recent banking crisis in Henan throws light on the corruption that is rampant at the lower rungs of the Chinese bureaucracy.

China’s Belt and Road Initiative at a crucial juncture
Aug 25, 2023

China’s Belt and Road Initiative at a crucial juncture

With US-China rivalry and concerns over the long-term viability of the BRI growing, the third Belt and Road Forum will have much to manoeuvre should i

China’s Belt and Road Initiative in the Energy Sector: Progress, Direction, and Trends
Dec 05, 2023

China’s Belt and Road Initiative in the Energy Sector: Progress, Direction, and Trends

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is central to the country’s ambitious policy reorientation. The energy sector accounts for nearly 40 percent of all investments under the BRI, with significant geostrategic and geoeconomic implications. In recent years, China has adopted a “greening the BRI” strategy, emphasising green energy projects. This brief analyses China’s BRI investments in the energy sector to establish the potential trend

China’s belt and road initiative: Implications in Africa
May 10, 2023

China’s belt and road initiative: Implications in Africa

Over the last two decades, China has established a significant economic presence in most African countries. Its lucrative economic investment package, flexible political approach, and focused big-ticket development projects under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) provide an ostensibly massive opportunity to African countries. However, the unilateral nature of the initiative, the lack of transparency and accountability to African countries, and t

China’s Big Tech pledges support to common prosperity: By choice or design?
Sep 15, 2021

China’s Big Tech pledges support to common prosperity: By choice or design?

Post a regulatory crackdown, tech CEOs are pledging moral and monetary support for the CPC’s “common prosperity” programme

China’s BRI continues to remain popular amongst Africans despite intense backlash
Oct 09, 2021

China’s BRI continues to remain popular amongst Africans despite intense backlash

There is a growing acknowledgment that the China-funded projects are not economically viable in the long term but African nations still view China in

China’s civil-military forays in India’s neighbourhood
Apr 29, 2023

China’s civil-military forays in India’s neighbourhood

China’s growing presence in India’s immediate neighbourhood is concerning

China’s core leadership: How deep is it?
Jul 07, 2017

China’s core leadership: How deep is it?

An indication of a possible power tussle would be found in November when the 19th CPC Congress is scheduled to be held.

China’s Cruise Missile Capabilities: Implications for the Indian Army and Air Force
Apr 10, 2023

China’s Cruise Missile Capabilities: Implications for the Indian Army and Air Force

This brief evaluates the state and development of China’s cruise missile capabilities, specifically that of its air-launched and ground-launched missile forces. It finds that China has developed a formidable inventory of cruise missiles, which poses a threat to India’s own military infrastructure.  The brief lays out the imperative for India: to build up its long-range cruise missile forces. It argues that India’s current capabilities woul

China’s defence industry: China will weaponise its thriving arms trade
Dec 29, 2022

China’s defence industry: China will weaponise its thriving arms trade

PRC has realised that the trade in weapons can serve several Chinese foreign policy and economic objectives

China’s elite signals a course correction on Hong Kong
Mar 15, 2022

China’s elite signals a course correction on Hong Kong

Relentless lawfare strategy makes way for social-economic agenda

China’s expanding military footprint in Africa
Sep 04, 2017

China’s expanding military footprint in Africa

China’s growing military profile in Africa is following its economic footprint in the continent as exemplified by the Chinese “logistics support base” in Djibouti. It is moving towards an ever more expansive definition of its global interests, as its business in Africa pushes it to create new mechanisms for securing those interests, including its own growing military footprint abroad. This brief examines the changing nature of China’s inv

China’s expanding tech lead through Digital Silk Road
Jun 23, 2023

China’s expanding tech lead through Digital Silk Road

While the DSR has the potential to enhance digital connectivity in developing economies of the Indo-Pacific, it also provides Beijing with a tool to a

China’s growing counter-space capabilities
May 16, 2020

China’s growing counter-space capabilities

The risks posed by China’s military space programme is primarily to other more capable powers such as the US using space as a force multiplier.

China’s manned lunar ambitions: Strategic imperatives and implications
May 24, 2023

China’s manned lunar ambitions: Strategic imperatives and implications

China’s space policy planners are convinced that the country should aim for manned lunar landings by 2040. It has already established a sophisticated robotic lunar exploration programme and human landings are perceived as the logical next step. New navigation and communication architectures are being developed for this purpose, in addition to building life support systems and a suitable launch vehicle. However, China’s political leadership wo

China’s military ambitions
Mar 14, 2024

China’s military ambitions

China’s annual parliamentary meetings offer a glimpse into its future direction. This year, amidst economic headwinds, a key takeaway is the continued surge in defence spending

China’s military manoeuvres in the Taiwan Strait
Aug 09, 2022

China’s military manoeuvres in the Taiwan Strait

The recent military drills by the PLA are to ascertain the nature of Taiwan’s response.

China’s Military Modernisation: Recent Trends
Apr 11, 2023

China’s Military Modernisation: Recent Trends

China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has undergone many changes since Xi Jinping became general secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC) in 2013. Efforts at modernising the PLA have been conducted in earnest for the past 10 years through the overhaul of the organisation and the introduction of latest technologies to make it battle-ready. This paper describes these capability-related and institutional changes in China’s military, wh

China’s military rise and the Indian challenge
Apr 19, 2018

China’s military rise and the Indian challenge

Unlike other great powers of the past New Delhi has encountered, China impinges directly on India’s geopolitical landscape in multiple ways. The ris

China’s Military-Civil Fusion Strategy, the US Response, and Implications for India
Jul 21, 2023

China’s Military-Civil Fusion Strategy, the US Response, and Implications for India

Military modernisation was the fourth and last of Deng Xiaoping’s ‘Four Modernisations’. Even before the third modernisation got underway—that of science and technology—China began using commercial technologies to advance its military capabilities. This strategy has gained salience since Xi Jinping came to power in 2012 and made it the state’s key goal to transform the PLA into a “world-class military”. Military-Civil Fusi

China’s moves to strengthen its atomic arsenal
Mar 09, 2021

China’s moves to strengthen its atomic arsenal

Silo-based missile capabilities increase the odds of survivability for China’s small arsenal and are integral to Beijing’s nuclear modernisation e

China’s new defence white paper
Sep 27, 2019

China’s new defence white paper

The white paper is an amalgamation of past experiences as well as the role that China will play in the global order in the coming years.

China’s Nuclear Ambiguity and its Implications for India
Apr 07, 2021

China’s Nuclear Ambiguity and its Implications for India

China’s evolving security dynamics with the United States have compelled it to rethink its nuclear strategy to achieve effective deterrence. It is aiming to modernise its nuclear arsenal and increase its nuclear ambiguity through conventional-nuclear entanglement. Ambiguity will increase the risks of mischaracterisation and can have a destabilising impact on the Indo-Pacific region. This paper highlights two areas where India ought to be most c

China’s Nuclear Ambitions, the Implications for India, and the Future of Global Disarmament
Aug 16, 2023

China’s Nuclear Ambitions, the Implications for India, and the Future of Global Disarmament

China’s nuclear weapons arsenal has grown and modernised over the recent years, and current estimates say the country has 350 operational warheads ready for delivery, over 248 land-based ballistic missiles, and 72 sea-based ballistic missiles. China also has 20 nuclear gravity bombs and additional warheads intended to be armed on land- and sea-based missiles. This brief outlines a history of China’s nuclear weapons programme, scrutini