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Afghanistan: Insurgency on the rise amidst international troop-drawdown
Oct 31, 2014

Afghanistan: Insurgency on the rise amidst international troop-drawdown

New Afghan President Ashraf Ghani fulfilled his promise of signing the Bilateral Security Agreement (BSA) with the U.S. and Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) with the NATO within 24 hours of taking office.

Countering insurgency in Kashmir: The cyber dimension
Jan 10, 2017

Countering insurgency in Kashmir: The cyber dimension

Countering the militancy in Kashmir has become a highly challenging task due to the exploitation of new information and communication technology by insurgent groups. The battlefield is now a multidimensional one, encompassing both physical territory and cyberspace. The overall capabilities of insurgents have been enhanced by tools in cyberspace that are inexpensive, ever more sophisticated, rapidly proliferating, and easy to use. Militants are sy

Countering Maoist Insurgency: Has Chhattisgarh turned the corner?
May 10, 2024

Countering Maoist Insurgency: Has Chhattisgarh turned the corner?

Despite the recent series of successful operations against the Maoists, the state and its security forces have to entrench themselves in the state whi

Ineffective strategy to fight insurgency
Jul 24, 2014

Ineffective strategy to fight insurgency

All insurgencies are political movements supported by the local population and can only be resolved through political means. The military establishment can only ensure that the rebel movement is sufficiently neutralised and violent action curtailed.

Maoist insurgency and the 'numbers paradox'
Jul 09, 2013

Maoist insurgency and the 'numbers paradox'

Despite the high number of casualties suffered in the Maoist attacks, the government's action unfortunately depends on the 'paradox of numbers'. And it clearly mirrors the phenomenon of "lumpy adjustment" instead of the needed incremental steps.

Mobilising to a Victorious Insurgency: Locating Identity, Grievance, and Greed in the Taliban’s Strategy
Aug 11, 2023

Mobilising to a Victorious Insurgency: Locating Identity, Grievance, and Greed in the Taliban’s Strategy

Analysts attribute the fall of Kabul to the Taliban in August 2021 to various factors. These include geopolitical shifts, and the Taliban’s tactics of warfare. However, fewer attempts have been made to understand the Taliban’s victory through internal mobilisation. This brief attempts to fill the gap, and examines the role of identity, grievance, and greed in the Taliban’s mobilisation and its contribution to a successful insurgency. It out

Oil, Ethnicity, and Insurgency in Nigeria
Jun 29, 2011

Oil, Ethnicity, and Insurgency in Nigeria

In mid-June, the oil giant Shell was forced to declare force majeure in its Nigeria unit excusing it from liability and contractual obligations due to sabotage by local militias on its oil pipelines.

Situation in Afghanistan in the Context of Insurgency and Changing Nature of War
Apr 18, 2008

Situation in Afghanistan in the Context of Insurgency and Changing Nature of War

Lt Gen (retd.) David Barno, Director, Center for North-East and South Asia (NESA) at the National Defense University, Washington, D.C. along with Col (retd.) Jack Gill, also of the same center, visited ORF on 18 April 2008. LTG Barno made a presentation on "Situation in Afghanistan in the Context of Insurgency and Changing Nature of War".

Talking to Maoists, and tackling insurgency
Aug 31, 2010

Talking to Maoists, and tackling insurgency

The Centre cannot be seen as taking tentative steps if and when the talks commenced, and get enmeshed in complications from the Law and Order (a State subject) to issues of tribal welfare, industrial investments, development, etc.

The India-Bhutan story: India understands the urgency and needs of its neighbour
Mar 28, 2024

The India-Bhutan story: India understands the urgency and needs of its neighbour

The two nations have had a history of cooperation, support, and mutual growth.

The Southern African Development Community and the Mozambique insurgency
Jul 13, 2021

The Southern African Development Community and the Mozambique insurgency

The stability and security of Mozambique is a cause of international concern.

There is an insurgency in FATA
Feb 14, 2014

There is an insurgency in FATA

Far too many times, states make the mistake of not recognising that they are confronted with insurgencies. Fearing the supposed legitimising effect of affording 'miscreants' the title of insurgents, they prefer to describe violent movements as law and order problems, situation, the troubles, and of course, terrorism.

Why is the Indian counter-insurgency failing repeatedly?
Apr 08, 2014

Why is the Indian counter-insurgency failing repeatedly?

The Indian tendency to muddle through is likely to continue when it comes to counter-insurgency. The distance between the Army and its civilian masters is so gaping that advice, however enriched by experience and reflection, is likely to fall on deaf ears.

Why Kashmir needs a new counterinsurgency strategy
May 18, 2018

Why Kashmir needs a new counterinsurgency strategy

Every successful encounter is causing more recruitments — the security establishment is caught between the conundrum: to kill the militants or not.

Afghanistan: Peace talks with Taliban gain momentum
Jul 06, 2012

Afghanistan: Peace talks with Taliban gain momentum

For the first time, Taliban and Government representatives met publicly on June 27 in Japan, signalling another round of parleys between the belligerents to find a negotiated end to the insurgency.

America’s déjà vu moment
May 01, 2024

America’s déjà vu moment

As the Biden administration grapples with the intricate interplay of domestic pressures and international obligations, particularly in the midst of an election year, there is a palpable sense of urgency to confront a myriad of challenges.

Arrival of the first Indian cargo ship at Sittwe Port: Assessing the Kaladan Project
May 10, 2023

Arrival of the first Indian cargo ship at Sittwe Port: Assessing the Kaladan Project

The resolution of the growing conflicts coupled with insurgency issues in Myanmar will remain crucial to attracting more private investors to utilise

Bangladesh-India connectivity: Passage through Tripura
Mar 25, 2021

Bangladesh-India connectivity: Passage through Tripura

The relationship between Bangladesh and Tripura is a long one; it is civilisational, historical, lingual, and cultural.

Bhutan’s border conundrum: Nowhere near the finish line
Nov 10, 2022

Bhutan’s border conundrum: Nowhere near the finish line

Despite the urgency shown by all three parties—Bhutan, India, and China—to end the border disputes, divergent interests continue to pose a signifi

Biden’s Afghanistan plan: It’s now or never
Mar 10, 2021

Biden’s Afghanistan plan: It’s now or never

The Biden administration’s plan for Afghanistan reflects the urgency with which the US is looking for a way out, without giving up on any of the gai

Building bridges, fostering peace:  J&K's new DGP connects with the public
Feb 28, 2024

Building bridges, fostering peace: J&K's new DGP connects with the public

The continued collaboration between various stakeholders is crucial to effectively foster trust and maintain peace in the Valley.

Bull by the Horns
May 10, 2021

Bull by the Horns

To decisively fight the Maoists, India needs a culture of accountability at all levels

Can mental health become a priority pillar for future G20 Presidencies?
Nov 09, 2023

Can mental health become a priority pillar for future G20 Presidencies?

With commitment, collaboration, and a comprehensive approach, the G20 has the capacity to guide us toward a future where mental health occupies a cent

China's Military Strategy: Implications for India
Jul 15, 2015

China's Military Strategy: Implications for India

In the Chinese defence paper, though nothing is directly indicative of India, the implications are quite clear with the focus on open seas protection and unbending approach to territorial disputes. Urgency and imagination will be key in tackling Chinese ambitions in what is considered New Delhi's backyard.

China’s Burmese dilemma: Dual implications of Operation 1027
Jan 26, 2024

China’s Burmese dilemma: Dual implications of Operation 1027

The recent military drills along the Myanmar border reflect China's growing concern regarding the intensification of conflict in the Shan state in Mya

China’s terror dilemma in CPEC: A Xinjiang strategy?
Aug 17, 2023

China’s terror dilemma in CPEC: A Xinjiang strategy?

This brief aims to examine one of China’s possible responses to the various extremist and terrorist activities that plague the internal security of Pakistan, given the necessity of securing its USD 62 billion investment in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Given that Pakistan is failing to control this problem, China will have to take measures of its own to secure CPEC. The response of China could possibly be inspired by its strateg

Community policing as a tool for internal security management - Part 2
Jun 02, 2022

Community policing as a tool for internal security management - Part 2

This second part assesses the challenges of insurgency in the Northeast and the Left-Wing Extremism.

Counter-terrorism in South Asia: New Threats Call for Deeper Cooperation
Sep 14, 2023

Counter-terrorism in South Asia: New Threats Call for Deeper Cooperation

With the foreign forces drawing down in Afghanistan, there is an inevitable loss offocus on the threat of terrorism in the highly vulnerable region of South Asia. But almost everycountry in the region, barring Bhutan, continues to confront the challenges of terrorism andinsurgency. Yet there appears little sense of the danger posed by terrorism, and its 'new' formsthat ride the wave of technology and the collapse of traditional state structures.

Defence budget : Long-term strategy needed
Feb 16, 2006

Defence budget : Long-term strategy needed

The emergence of Bangladesh as the new hub of international Islamist terrorism, insurgency in Nepal and Maoist militancy across several states, add new challenges to national security threats that India traditionally tackles. Despite these, India's defence expenditure continues to decrease in real terms and as a percentage of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) every year.

Demand-Inducing Stimulus as Covid19 Response: A Case for Debt Monetisation
May 11, 2023

Demand-Inducing Stimulus as Covid19 Response: A Case for Debt Monetisation

As India reels from the economic fallout of Covid-19 despite the announcement of a relief package, calls for a more refined and demand-inducing stimulus have emerged. However, the bleak state of the government’s coffers has left limited fiscal space to act. This brief explains the plausibility of financing a demand-inducing stimulus using debt monetisation as a one-time policy measure. Outlining the criticisms against such proposals and how the