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Liquefied petroleum gas: Supply challenges in India
Nov 24, 2023

Liquefied petroleum gas: Supply challenges in India

Growth in demand for LPG is slowing down and supply challenges could add to the pressure on demand for LPG in India.

Looking Back, Looking Ahead: East Asia in 2021
Jan 07, 2022

Looking Back, Looking Ahead: East Asia in 2021

As we usher in 2022, we unpack the events and trends of 2021 that are likely to dominate East Asian politics in the coming years

Mapping India’s poor
Aug 23, 2023

Mapping India’s poor

The face of poverty changes asymmetrically across the states. Monitoring systems must be flexible enough to map the poor and come up with targeted pla

Mapping out State response to Left Wing Extremism
Nov 27, 2012

Mapping out State response to Left Wing Extremism

Attempting to map out key trends emerging from the state intervention to contain the rise of left-wing extremism in India, Observer Research Foundation organised a panel discussion on "State Response to Left-Wing Extremism: A Report Card".

Millets for climate resilience and food security in India
Jan 19, 2024

Millets for climate resilience and food security in India

Given the current trends of climate action, millets provide an efficient solution for circumventing the food and water trade-off

Myanmar by-polls: less for now, more for future
Feb 23, 2012

Myanmar by-polls: less for now, more for future

The upcoming by-elections in Myanmar on April 1 have generated a lot of hype and justifiable attention. The polls have also generated a lot of expectations, but may not deliver much in real terms. However, in terms of trends and moods, it could be a pointer to the future.

Nepal's youth are leaving the country in droves
Jan 29, 2024

Nepal's youth are leaving the country in droves

The lack of economic opportunities at home is forcing 1,700 Nepalis to fly abroad every day, including to the Russia-Ukraine War

New challenges, flexible partnerships—election season commences in South Asia
Sep 05, 2023

New challenges, flexible partnerships—election season commences in South Asia

As the Maldives, Bhutan, and Bangladesh head toward elections, they continue to commit to democracy

Nuclear unpredictability: Managing the global nuclear framework
Dec 19, 2018

Nuclear unpredictability: Managing the global nuclear framework

The global nuclear framework still faces many challenges. Often, bleak predictions motivate the international community to collectively ensure that su

On Delhi, the Centre’s move goes against the spirit of federalism
Mar 18, 2021

On Delhi, the Centre’s move goes against the spirit of federalism

In short, the principle of subsidiarity demands that India’s national government take some cues from global trends and cede more powers to the city government in capital territory. The current bill by the Centre not only betrays the concept of “cooperative federalism” often espoused by the Union government, but will further complicate governance in India’s fastest growing mega-city.

Pakistan general elections 2018: Analysis of results and implications
Dec 18, 2018

Pakistan general elections 2018: Analysis of results and implications

n July 2018, Pakistanis voted in what was the third consecutive transfer of power from one civilian government to another in the country’s 71-year history. The elections may be called a success in that winners had been declared. However, the months leading up to the elections demonstrated the power of the military, and its ability to influence election outcomes and control sections of the media. As Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf leader Imran Khan see

Perils of Bangladesh’s RMG-driven export sector
Dec 12, 2022

Perils of Bangladesh’s RMG-driven export sector

The excessive dependence on a single category of RMG exports is bound to hamper the growth trends of the country

Policy Recommendations for Achieving India’s Defence-Export Ambitions
Nov 23, 2023

Policy Recommendations for Achieving India’s Defence-Export Ambitions

This brief assesses the recent trends in India’s defence exports and analyses the institutional and policy frameworks that have enabled a change in the country’s approach towards defence exports, resulting in an upward trajectory. It offers specific policy recommendations to allow India to pursue its target of US$5 billion in defence export revenue. However, a discussion on the types and forms of weapons, platforms, systems, or sub-systems ex

Post-Pandemic Economic Recovery: Seven Priorities for India
Jan 14, 2021

Post-Pandemic Economic Recovery: Seven Priorities for India

This paper examines the pre-pandemic slowdown, and subsequent contraction, in Indian economy. Utilising an analysis of broad macroeconomic and sectoral fundamentals, the paper argues that a notable lack of consumption and investment demand had already persisted before the pandemic; COVID-19 heightened those trends. Henceforth, India’s economic revival will be crucially dependent on demand generation by direct government fiscal intervention. The

Quality rules in India: Trade, technical regulations and consumer protection
Aug 21, 2023

Quality rules in India: Trade, technical regulations and consumer protection

India’s competitiveness in manufacturing and the success of ‘Make in India’ depend on its ability to produce high-quality products and services. Product quality is important for human health and consumer safety, as well as for protecting the climate and the environment. One way of ensuring that products and services meet certain standards is through technical regulations with mandatory compliance. However, technical regulations also have th

Russia’s Demographic trajectory: dimensions and implications
Jul 24, 2023

Russia’s Demographic trajectory: dimensions and implications

Demographic trends in Russia since the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 have largely been unfavourable. Deaths exceeded births for the first time in 1992, and a period of negative growth followed which continued unabated until 2012 when marginal growth was achieved for the first time in two decades. This paper studies the demographic patterns in Russia since 1991, which are unique for several reasons. While population decline is common amo

Sea drones: Implications of the great underwater wall of China
Aug 02, 2017

Sea drones: Implications of the great underwater wall of China

Several emerging trends like increasing congestion of global commons, especially in the maritime domain and the rapid development of disruptive techno

Small Satellite Constellations: The Promise of ‘Internet for All’
Sep 14, 2023

Small Satellite Constellations: The Promise of ‘Internet for All’

Over four billion people do not have access to Internet; that makes a huge two-thirdsof the global population. In India, around four of every five people lack this basic resource. Variousaccess technologies are being developed in different parts of the world to bridge the digital divide.Amongst these technologies, the emergence of small satellites carries immense promise. Thesesatellites are used for applications ranging from remote sensing to co

Social Media and Political Leaders: An Exploratory Analysis
Jul 21, 2023

Social Media and Political Leaders: An Exploratory Analysis

Politicians have always used the media to communicate with the electorate. What makes social media unique is the scale, speed, and minimal cost at which leaders can do this task. This paper analyses the relationship between political leaders and the microblogging site, Twitter. It provides a comprehensive and systematic analysis of the use of Twitter by two contemporary Indian political leaders—Narendra Modi and Rahul Gandhi. It describ

South Asia faces crises of governance
Dec 16, 2011

South Asia faces crises of governance

South Asia as a whole was struggling with crises of governance, said Professor Sumit Ganguly while broadly outlining some key political, social and economic trends in the region during a presentation at ORF on December 16, 2011.

South Asia South Asia Weekly 7
Feb 24, 2008

South Asia South Asia Weekly 7

The tiny nation's economy has become yet another victim of the protracted ethnic conflict between Tamils and Sinhalese. This week, Standard and Poor credit rating agency has downgraded the rating of Sri Lanka from 'stable' to 'negative' reflecting concerns about the weak fiscal consolidation efforts and the unfavourable trends evident in the country's debt profile.

Steady, but Evolving: An Overview of Russia’s Migrant Labour Market
Apr 29, 2024

Steady, but Evolving: An Overview of Russia’s Migrant Labour Market

Russia has long depended on migrant labour. However, the COVID-19 pandemic, the conflict in Ukraine, and a devaluing Ruble have impacted migrants economically. These developments, coupled with institutional hurdles and rising xenophobia in Russia, have pushed migrant labourers to seek alternate employment destinations. Notably, workers from countries such as Kazakhstan, Armenia, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine are swaying away from Russia, even as

Still no bullseye, in volume and value
Apr 02, 2020

Still no bullseye, in volume and value

India’s defence model faces challenges despite the positive trends generated by ‘Make in India’

Strengthening the France-India Partnership
May 19, 2022

Strengthening the France-India Partnership

India and France, amid intensifying geopolitical trends in the Indo-Pacific region, are likely to build an even closer partnership.

The Changing Contours of Regionalism and Multilateralism in a Globalised World
Sep 12, 2023

The Changing Contours of Regionalism and Multilateralism in a Globalised World

This issue brief looks at the trends of regionalism and multilateralism, their importance and evolution in an age of problems without borders that require regional or global solutions.

The Growing Gaps in Global Humanitarian Challenges
Apr 01, 2024

The Growing Gaps in Global Humanitarian Challenges

Emergency humanitarian aid, which aims to save lives and reduce people’s suffering in times of crises, has grown considerably over the last century to become a central feature of international relations and of the multilateral system. It is estimated that over 400 million people depend on such aid today. The future of these people and of the humanitarian aid they depend on are fraught with risks, in light of five palpable trends: exponentially

The return of America — Has Trump forced Biden’s hand on continuing the ‘America First’ foreign policy?
Dec 28, 2020

The return of America — Has Trump forced Biden’s hand on continuing the ‘America First’ foreign policy?

In some ways, Joe Biden’s election victory will reverse many of the trends from the past four years, including on multilateralism, democracy promoti

The Road to Inclusive Democracy: Measuring the Political Participation of Women in India (1951-2019)
Jul 20, 2023

The Road to Inclusive Democracy: Measuring the Political Participation of Women in India (1951-2019)

This paper analyses historical trends in women’s participation in Indian democracy as voters, contestants, and legislators, using data on state assembly elections between the first one in 1951, and 2019. The paper finds that India is witnessing a strengthening of its democracy as measured in terms of an unprecedented growth in the political participation of women in these three roles. In these 73 years of Indian democracy, the turnout of women

The Search for Sustainable Solutions to Debt Accumulation in Sub-Saharan Africa
Jul 21, 2023

The Search for Sustainable Solutions to Debt Accumulation in Sub-Saharan Africa

Like in some other regions of the world, the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated external debt accumulation in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This could have massive, adverse impacts on growth as governments prioritise debt servicing commitments over key development expenditures such as healthcare and education. For the countries in SSA with relatively lower GDP, this could mean getting caught in a vicious cycle of low output and mounting debt. A pa

The Sustainability Thread in India’s Development Partnerships
Oct 04, 2021

The Sustainability Thread in India’s Development Partnerships

This brief analyses the alignment between India’s development partnerships since Independence, and sustainability goals. It conducts the examination using three phases of India’s development partnerships—i.e., Phase 1, 1947-1990; Phase 2, 1991-2008; and Phase 3, post-2008—and finds that the country’s development cooperation agenda has historically incorporated objectives of sustainable growth. This pattern would continue throughout the

The Trump card: Answer to India’s economic slowdown?
May 29, 2020

The Trump card: Answer to India’s economic slowdown?

Can India jumpstart its economy by expanding bilateral trade relations with the US to reverse negative economic trends?

The UK Shifts to the Indo-Pacific: An Opportunity for India-UK Ties
Feb 15, 2021

The UK Shifts to the Indo-Pacific: An Opportunity for India-UK Ties

When the United Kingdom (UK) releases the highly anticipated integrated review of its foreign, defence, security and development policy in March, it will mark the first formal iteration of the UK’s Indo-Pacific strategy. This brief explores the dynamics that are driving the UK’s tilt to the Indo-Pacific. It identifies three key drivers that are prompting the shift: a reappraisal of China, the economic fallout of Brexit, and the UK’s close t

There’s a bot of gold on the AI horizon, but is past data enough to navigate the future?
Aug 18, 2018

There’s a bot of gold on the AI horizon, but is past data enough to navigate the future?

Artificial intelligence is turbocharging individual companies’ stock market valuations but overall economic productivity is sliding. These are not c

Understanding Africa’s policy conundrums in a changing global order
Aug 30, 2018

Understanding Africa’s policy conundrums in a changing global order

Trends in Africa are diverging. While East Africa shows growing signs of authoritarianism and suppression of dissent, in Southern Africa — liberatio

US and China: Decoupling in the era of COVID19
Jun 09, 2020

US and China: Decoupling in the era of COVID19

Questions about the utility of globalisation are not new. Could the COVID-19 outbreak be the final nail on the coffin for an idea that drove the world economy in the past three decades?  In theory, countries would produce what they specialised in, leaving it to the market to ensure everyone got a better price for it. As 2020 began, the pandemic spread from one province of China and soon disrupted production across the world. Countries banned the

US Debt Crisis: Viable Recovery Plan Still Missing
Aug 04, 2011

US Debt Crisis: Viable Recovery Plan Still Missing

The negotiations leading to the compromise legislation in the US Congress revealed two interesting trends. One, the increasing influence of the Tea Party Caucus in Republican politics and by extension in the American political system. Second, the absence of effective Presidential leadership in the debt-ceiling debate.

West Asia's changing contours
Nov 26, 2013

West Asia's changing contours

The US interest in West Asia is declining as domestic economic and political uncertainties make it look more and more inwards. The shale oil and gas boom is transforming energy markets with the US likely to emerge as the world's biggest combined oil and gas producer this year. These trends are reshaping the regional order in West Asia and New Delhi will have to respond pro-actively to preserve and enhance its own interests in a strategically crit

What a third Xi term could mean for India
Oct 17, 2022

What a third Xi term could mean for India

If the 20th CCP meet, which began on Sunday, enhances Xi Jinping’s power, it would reinforce trends associated with his tenure: Assertiveness abroad, no compromises on boundary issues, and a willingness to use the military as an instrument of policy

What does the case of Raymond Davis tell us about Pak-US relations?
Mar 11, 2011

What does the case of Raymond Davis tell us about Pak-US relations?

The current crisis in Pakistan-US relations over the detention of Raymond Davis, the American security contractor charged with the murder of two Pakistanis, confirms many well-known trends, such as increasing anti-Americanism among Pakistanis and the growing importance of 'strategic corporals'.

Why an ASAT Test Ban Is Important
Dec 20, 2022

Why an ASAT Test Ban Is Important

Continued peace and access to outer space is not a given if current trends of space weaponization continue.

ओआरएफ़ का विदेश नीति सर्वे 2021 : प्रमुख रुझानों को समझने की कोशिश
Aug 31, 2021

ओआरएफ़ का विदेश नीति सर्वे 2021 : प्रमुख रुझानों को समझने की कोशिश

मोदी सरकार की विदेश नीति से जुड़े बड़े फ़ैसलों जैसे चीन, क

जम्मू-काश्मीरमध्ये धोका नव्या तंत्रज्ञानाचा
Jul 22, 2021

जम्मू-काश्मीरमध्ये धोका नव्या तंत्रज्ञानाचा

गेल्या दोन दशकांमध्ये विविध ठिकाणी झालेल्या दहशतवादी हल्ल्यांमध्ये तंत्र आणि तंत्रज्ञानाचा मोठा वापर झाल्याचे निदर्शनास आले आहे.

ट्रांस अटलांटिक गठबंधन को लेकर रुझान
Oct 27, 2022

ट्रांस अटलांटिक गठबंधन को लेकर रुझान

हालांकि ट्रान्स अटलांटिक गठबंधन ने अब तक अपने रूख़ में ल�

ट्रान्स अटलांटिक प्रदेशातील जनमताचा कल
Aug 08, 2023

ट्रान्स अटलांटिक प्रदेशातील जनमताचा कल

ट्रान्सअॅटलांटिक प्रदेशातील ऐक्यात आत्तापर्यंत तरी दखलपात्र लवचिकता दिसून आली आहे, मात्र सद्यस्थितीतले तिथल्या जनमताचे कल, आणि भविष्यात समोर चर्चेत येणारे नवे मुद्दे�

तरुणांचे ब्रेन ड्रेन रोखण्यासाठी भूतान सरकारच्या सुधारणा
Sep 28, 2023

तरुणांचे ब्रेन ड्रेन रोखण्यासाठी भूतान सरकारच्या सुधारणा

भूतान सरकारने तरुणांचे कौशल्य वाढवण्यासाठी, नोकरीच्या बाजारपेठेतील मागणी-पुरवठ्यातील विसंगती दूर करण्यासाठी आणि देशातील पुढील ब्रेन ड्रेन रोखण्यासाठी सुधारणा केल्य�

नेपाळमधील तरुणांचे स्थलांतर
Feb 12, 2024

नेपाळमधील तरुणांचे स्थलांतर

नेपाळमध्ये देशांतर्गत आर्थिक संधींच्या अभावामुळे दररो�

नैसर्गिक वायूला पर्याय द्रवीकृत पेट्रोलियम वायूचा
Oct 28, 2023

नैसर्गिक वायूला पर्याय द्रवीकृत पेट्रोलियम वायूचा

मॉड्युलर पॅकेजिंग व वाहतुकीसाठी योग्य आदी वैशिष्ट्यांमुळे तुलनेने स्वच्छ, पर्यायी इंधन म्हणून एलपीजीच्या औद्योगिक वापराला प्रोत्साहन दिले, तर देशाची आर्थिक व पर्यावर�