Search: For - escalation

78 results found

Depsang to Kazan: Emerging détente between China and India
Nov 04, 2024

Depsang to Kazan: Emerging détente between China and India

Although India and China have reached a preliminary agreement to disengage, the future development path of China-India relations is still full of pot

गाझापासून तेहरानपर्यंतः 'नवीन' मध्यपूर्वेचा भ्रम आणि धोका
Nov 02, 2024

गाझापासून तेहरानपर्यंतः 'नवीन' मध्यपूर्वेचा भ्रम आणि धोका

याह्या सिनवारच्या मृत्यूने हमासचा कणा मोडला आहे का? होय. �

India-China disengagement: Progress on the ground, doubts in the air
Oct 28, 2024

India-China disengagement: Progress on the ground, doubts in the air

While disengagement, de-escalation, and de-induction may proceed apace, restoring trust will require more time

रशियाच्या नवीन आण्विक धोरणाचा जगावर काय परिणाम होईल?
Oct 28, 2024

रशियाच्या नवीन आण्विक धोरणाचा जगावर काय परिणाम होईल?

पुतिन यांनी नवीन धोक्यांची शक्यता नोंदवत, रशियाच्या आण्�

From Gaza to Tehran: Illusions and delusions of a ‘new’ Middle East
Oct 21, 2024

From Gaza to Tehran: Illusions and delusions of a ‘new’ Middle East

Has the backbone of Hamas broken with the death of Sinwar? Yes. Will this mean an end to resistance movements, both militant and political? Most likel

What does the new Russian nuclear doctrine mean?
Oct 04, 2024

What does the new Russian nuclear doctrine mean?

Putin proposed updates to Russia’s nuclear doctrine and military policy, citing new threats. While there are adjustments made, they do not signify a

Hamas under new chief Sinwar faces existential choices
Aug 24, 2024

Hamas under new chief Sinwar faces existential choices

Haniyeh’s death has altered the dynamics of negotiations around the Gaza conflict, with Yahya Sinwar now leading Hamas and complicating de-escalatio

The nuclear dimension of the Kargil War and its legacy
Aug 06, 2024

The nuclear dimension of the Kargil War and its legacy

The Kargil War highlighted the need for clear nuclear doctrines and strong command systems to manage escalation risks for both India and Pakistan

Initial reading of Hamas political chief’s assassination in Iran
Jul 31, 2024

Initial reading of Hamas political chief’s assassination in Iran

The assassination of the head of Hamas’s political bureau raises critical questions about Hamas’s leadership, the Gaza conflict and potential esca

Pakistan’s tactical nuclear weapons limit India’s conventional military options
Jun 25, 2024

Pakistan’s tactical nuclear weapons limit India’s conventional military options

Pakistan’s TNWs could deter India's conventional military superiority, preventing territorial gains. The threat of tactical nuclear escalation might

इराण, इस्रायल आणि पश्चिम आशिया पुन्हा एकदा युद्धाच्या उंबरठ्यावर
Apr 24, 2024

इराण, इस्रायल आणि पश्चिम आशिया पुन्हा एकदा युद्धाच्या उंबरठ्यावर

इराणने इस्रायलवर केलेल्या क्षेपणास्त्र हल्ल्यामुळे आग�

Iran, Israel, and West Asia are on the brink again
Apr 15, 2024

Iran, Israel, and West Asia are on the brink again

The recent missile attacks by Iran on Israel present a bleak outlook for security in the Middle East in the coming days

इराण आणि पाकिस्तान : आधीच अडचणीत सापडलेल्या पाकिस्तानसमोर आणखीन एक आव्हान
Feb 12, 2024

इराण आणि पाकिस्तान : आधीच अडचणीत सापडलेल्या पाकिस्तानसमोर आणखीन एक आव्हान

इराण आणि पाकिस्तान यांनी 'जशास तसं' करून दाखवण्याची शक्य�

इराण आणि पाकिस्तानमध्ये आता नवा संघर्ष
Feb 07, 2024

इराण आणि पाकिस्तानमध्ये आता नवा संघर्ष

इराण आणि पाकिस्तान या दोन्ही देशांचा इतिहास प्रादेशिक स�

उत्तर कोरियाच्या लष्करी शक्तीच्या प्रदर्शनाचा प्रादेशिक प्रभाव
Jan 20, 2024

उत्तर कोरियाच्या लष्करी शक्तीच्या प्रदर्शनाचा प्रादेशिक प्रभाव

प्योंगयांगने अलीकडील केलेल्या लाइव्ह-फायर ड्रिल्समुळे

Iran and Pakistan: Another front for an already embattled Islamabad
Jan 19, 2024

Iran and Pakistan: Another front for an already embattled Islamabad

Chances are that the tit-for-tat exchange between Iran and Pakistan will not escalate; neither side wants nor can afford an open conflict

Iran and Pakistan open a new frontier of conflict
Jan 19, 2024

Iran and Pakistan open a new frontier of conflict

Both Iran and Pakistan have their hands full with regional conflicts. Neither would want to escalate it beyond a point as their resources are already

The Venezuela-Guyana dispute: A storm in a teacup?
Jan 18, 2024

The Venezuela-Guyana dispute: A storm in a teacup?

The current escalation of the longstanding dispute between Venezuela and Guyana over the Essequibo region seems to be nothing more than a storm in a t

गाज़ा से हूती तक: पश्चिम एशिया में तनाव बढ़ाने वाले कारकों की पड़ताल!
Jan 17, 2024

गाज़ा से हूती तक: पश्चिम एशिया में तनाव बढ़ाने वाले कारकों की पड़ताल!

इज़रायल और हमास के बीच युद्ध में पिछले तीन महीनों में भार�

North Korea's artillery fire and regional implications
Jan 09, 2024

North Korea's artillery fire and regional implications

Pyongyang’s recent live-fire drills could set in motion a series of events with far-reaching consequences for regional stability, diplomacy, and the

China-Philippines ties: Towards more escalations in the West Philippine Sea?
Oct 25, 2023

China-Philippines ties: Towards more escalations in the West Philippine Sea?

The speed at which China has escalated its assertive manoeuvres in the West Philippine Sea aligns with the broader context of contemporary internation

पश्चिमी एशिया में तनाव में तात्कालिक कमी: सामरिक समीकरणों का बदलाव नहीं!
Apr 07, 2023

पश्चिमी एशिया में तनाव में तात्कालिक कमी: सामरिक समीकरणों का बदलाव नहीं!

जिन संरचनात्मक बुनियादों ने पश्चिमी एशिया में प्रतिद्व�

In West Asia, don’t confuse tactical de-escalation with strategic alignment
Mar 31, 2023

In West Asia, don’t confuse tactical de-escalation with strategic alignment

The structural pretext that drove West Asia’s cycle of competition and proxy conflict is still in place without a clear solution in sight

Chinese cyber escalation against India’s electricity grid amidst the boundary crisis 
Mar 10, 2021

Chinese cyber escalation against India’s electricity grid amidst the boundary crisis 

Beyond defensive measures, New Delhi needs to step up efforts for a potent cyber offensive capability that can enable retaliatory strikes against Chin

De-escalation this time around will not be as easy as in Doklam
Jun 23, 2020

De-escalation this time around will not be as easy as in Doklam

New Delhi’s decreased policy manoeuvrability coupled with China’s decreasing need to comply with international norms and conventions is a dangerou

Separation anxieties: US, China and tech interdependence
Apr 09, 2020

Separation anxieties: US, China and tech interdependence

In the near future, we will likely see the United States supplement domestic mechanisms to decouple from China — with systematic escalation — at k

JCPOA in the ICU
Jul 04, 2019

JCPOA in the ICU

Whether the escalation of conflict between the US and Iran can be calibrated or not, is difficult to predict.

Fog of War: A first glimpse of wartime information operations
Mar 01, 2019

Fog of War: A first glimpse of wartime information operations

Information operations have long been Pakistan’s preferred tool to execute and supplement its hybrid warfare in Jammu and Kashmir.

After Balakot strike, time to de-escalate
Feb 28, 2019

After Balakot strike, time to de-escalate

Any future terrorist attack could be met by a response to a contour shaped by the Balakot action.

One strike isn’t enough to establish deterrence
Feb 26, 2019

One strike isn’t enough to establish deterrence

If the Balakot strike is not to join the dismal achievement of previous Indian attacks, it has to be part of a deterrence strategy.

When India failed Rafale
Jul 21, 2018

When India failed Rafale

India is asserting its rights as a Nuclear Weapons Power, and France is helping us do this at great risk to itself, and the Indian public discourse se

Escalate to deter the Pakistan army
May 05, 2017

Escalate to deter the Pakistan army

It is the fear of escalation, which the Pakistan army has masked behind bombastic threats, that India needs to exploit.

India now controls the escalation ladder
Oct 05, 2016

India now controls the escalation ladder

The deterrence game between India and Pakistan has changed dramatically with India’s decision to conduct a military strike across the Line of Contro

Why would Pakistan respond?
Sep 30, 2016

Why would Pakistan respond?

If Pakistan is willing to escalate and want to respond to the recent surgical strike, what are likely to be its options?

An ominous threat of escalation on the Ukraine war front
Nov 22, 2024

An ominous threat of escalation on the Ukraine war front

Joe Biden’s decision may have the potential to drag the Trump administration into the conflict.

Crisis and Escalation in South Asia
May 12, 2005

Crisis and Escalation in South Asia

The Observer Research Foundation, in partnership with the Center for Contemporary Conflict (CCC), Naval Post-graduate School, California, USA, and the Islamabad Policy Research Institute (IPRI), Pakistan undertook a project, Crisis and Escalation in South Asia: The 2002 India-Pakistan Military Standoff....

Limited War and Escalation Control
Nov 22, 2004

Limited War and Escalation Control

Clausewitz may be out of fashion and less relevant today but no one can question his evergreen noting, ¿Each age has had its own peculiar forms of war.... Each, therefore, would also keep its own theory of war¿.

Pakistan’s sea-based nuclear deterrent and its asymmetric escalation strategy
Aug 21, 2023

Pakistan’s sea-based nuclear deterrent and its asymmetric escalation strategy

This brief situates Pakistan’s pursuit of a sea-based nuclear deterrent within the context of its asymmetric escalation strategy. It does so by examining the role of Pakistan’s land-based tactical nuclear weapons in such strategy, as well as by raising questions about claims that India may be shifting towards a counterforce targeting strategy and thus endangering the survivability of Pakistan’s nuclear deterrent. The brief also reviews clai

Risk Assessment and Escalation Management in India-Pakistan Conflicts
Dec 15, 2021

Risk Assessment and Escalation Management in India-Pakistan Conflicts

Since August 2021 when the US withdrew from Afghanistan, ceasefire violations at the India-Pakistan Line of Control (LoC) and killings of minorities in J&K have been reported. Indeed, the fall of Kabul to the Taliban has bolstered the anti-India establishment and the terrorist groups in Pakistan—putting the February 2021 ceasefire agreement between India and Pakistan under stress. India's conventional military response of the type of the 'S

The escalation matrix in Ukraine
Nov 25, 2024

The escalation matrix in Ukraine

The Ukrainian incursion and occupation of Kursk has compelled Russia to turn to North Korea for troops who have been deployed and are now fighting alongside Russian forces to retake the region.

Uri aftermath: Retaliation, with de-escalation built in
Sep 30, 2016

Uri aftermath: Retaliation, with de-escalation built in

While individual strikes on the LoC are fine, an escalation of tension and a breakdown of the 2003 ceasefire will be a negative rebound.