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Between the data, the risks, and the narratives lies an uncertain future that will test the intellectual leadership of India’s G20 presidency.
The main culprit for the sharp rise in the current account deficit is the increase in gold imports and the hefty payment for oil imports. People are buying gold because they are apprehensive about the outlook on inflation. They think of gold as a reliable asset whose value has appreciated the most in the past few years.
HOW to ensure food security and control inflation has emerged as a major challenge for the government in the New Year. The hangover of food inflation from 2010 cannot be ignored as it is still in double digits.
स्वीडनचे 2023 चे अध्यक्षपद हे एका गंभीर टप्प्यावर आले आहे कारण युरोपला अनेक आव्हानांचा सामना करावा लागत आहे.
Opening up retail trade should not have happened at a time when inflation is high, GDP growth rate is falling, industrial growth and exports are declining. Unfortunately, it would take a long time for the multi-brand retailers to establish their own supply chains and hence inflation is unlikely to come down in the near future.
The GDP growth does not mean much to the average voter. But prices do that matter as inflation cut into the budget for healthcare and education for children. Thus what will ultimately decide the outcome of the elections will be inflation and the government's inability to control it.
Dialling down the tax and public debt-driven, active industrial policy model could greenlight private demand-led consumption and private investment-le
A period of instability continues to loom large over Nepal as, despite the overwhelming support garnered by PM Prachanda, it won’t translate into re
The changes brought to the Consumption Expenditure Survey have raised concerns over comparability with previous rounds of surveys
A new “more equal” world has to replace the old unequal world with a paradigm propagating equality from spatial and temporal dimensions.
The government has to choose in a trade-off between nurturing medium-term growth via cheap credit and compromising the political present if inflation
With the looming third wave, the Indian government would have to revive consumption demand and control inflation simultaneously.
India's pragmatic approach to resilience and adaptability in the face of geopolitical upheavals positions it as a key player in shaping the future of
Prachanda’s visit highlights the two countries willingness to move beyond contentious issues and focus on mutually beneficial aspects
By studying India’s consumption patterns over time, effective policies can be undertaken to boost India’s economic growth
Breaking down the journey towards the high GDP growth in Q1FY22.
To ensure organic, responsible growth in 2024, India will have to implement a policy structure which is unique to a developing nation in the current g
Agriculture remains stressed as food inflation remains low. India Inc. is not doing well either.
Making the correct trade-offs can support higher growth over the long term as can implementing a foundational reform agenda
The global macroeconomy has undergone unprecedented change in recent years, particularly because of the COVID-19 pandemic. While the G20 had an effective coordinating role in steering the global economy through the 2008 global financial crisis, its role in engineering an inclusive and sustainable recovery from the pandemic has been more mixed. Incomes in the advanced G20 economies are on track to return to pre-pandemic levels by end-2022 but have
Indian industry stalwarts have welcomed the arrival of Narendra Modi. The first priority of Prime Minister Narendra Modi should be to ensure the revival of economic growth, which has gone below 5 per cent in the past two years and also tackle food inflation and price rise.
How far inflation control will be successful, only time can tell and we have to wait and watch. Inflation is very bad especially for the poor. But inflation cannot be controlled by interest rates alone. By being overly hawkish, the RBI Governor is not going to help industry which is starved of investment.
The oil shock poses two risks for India. First, the fear that it will increase the current account deficit. Second, it poses a conundrum of navigating conflicting objectives — preserve the market-based retail oil price mechanism whilst graduating the price shock for consumers and containing inflation.
The Finance Minister has addressed the various deficiencies in agricultural production which are responsible for high food inflation. But the actual measures announced are not enough to shake up agriculture and as Dr MS Swaminathan pointed out - it will not make the youthful population take up farming.
Going into 2024, Pakistan remains in the throes of a polycrisis, without a clear roadmap on how to navigate it
No matter the winner, Pakistan’s economy will make it difficult for the incoming government to meet election promises
Pakistan should be cautious of the excessive IMF lending as the large capital inflows can undermine the BoP viability in the long run
Why has the UPA been so ineffective in pushing GDP growth in its second term? Why has it not been able to tame inflation? Looking back, it was the three stimulus packages that the UPA government gave that was responsible for much of what is wrong today.
Pakistan can draw crucial lessons from Sri Lanka’s success as the former continues to negotiate for a US$ 1.1-billion tranche from the IMF to stabil
Uncertainty in financial arrangements is crippling and its trauma lingers. The good news is that this sell off is temporary. Stock markets are now back to where they were just two weeks ago.
The pandemic has exacerbated the income and digital divide in Brazil, particularly amongst the children and youth demographic
Inflation targeting has become a bone of contention in India. While some economists say a certain level of inflation is a necessary evil, others argue RBI's target is very low and would require monetary tightening. What is required is a balance between fiscal and monetary policy.
Growth was bound to suffer because India depends significantly on private entrepreneurship and capital.
As the rupee loses its value against the dollar, what are the implications for the Indian economy?
India’s resilient economy has rebounded from pandemic-induced negative growth, making it a shining prospect in the gloomy global arena
The policy blunders by the Sri Lankan state have adversely affected the food security of the country.
Sweden’s 2023 presidency comes at a critical juncture as Europe confronts several challenges
The current Sri Lankan political environment is ripe for transformations in power structures, economic policy, and citizen involvement
While it might be tempting to dismiss the importance of international rating agencies based on periods of robust inflows of foreign investment, the im
A normal monsoon and the consequently softer inflation in food prices could force RBI’s hand on both its policy stance as well as on the policy rate
The crisis in the South Asian neighbourhood is quite alarming, but India stands as a bright star in the region and on the global stage, despite inflat
Poor governance and flawed policies marred Nepal’s economic performance.
While in India, China and many other countries, the main worry is the inflation, the US, the biggest economy in the world, is not facing inflation but a colossal public debt which crossed the government's stipulated limit recently. Currently the US debt stands at $14.6 trillion.
Despite delay, distract and diffuse tactics, awareness of the climate crisis and the impact it has on many of our other crises—energy, food, violenc
Despite the prevailing environment of gloom and doom due to the Ukraine crisis, the Indian economy’s ability to resist imported inflation is greater
