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Great powers and small islands: An update from the Pacific and its engagement with Australia
Dec 19, 2022

Great powers and small islands: An update from the Pacific and its engagement with Australia

In the first of a two-part series, an assessment is made about whether Australia’s place in the Pacific is as assured as once assumed

Greek crisis: The geopolitical twist to Eurozone's troubles
Feb 23, 2015

Greek crisis: The geopolitical twist to Eurozone's troubles

Did Russia's quick response of offering the new Greek prime minister with financial aid to sail through the financial crisis help him bargain the new time line for debt rescheduling? Yes or not, the victory of the 'Left' PM in the Greek general elections has given a geo-political twist to Eurozone's troubles.

Green lighting growth
Jun 09, 2023

Green lighting growth

Dialling down the tax and public debt-driven, active industrial policy model could greenlight private demand-led consumption and private investment-le

Harbouring France in the Indo-Pacific: Assessing Macron’s visit to Sri Lanka
Aug 10, 2023

Harbouring France in the Indo-Pacific: Assessing Macron’s visit to Sri Lanka

President Macron’s recent visit to Sri Lanka intends to provide a larger diplomatic canvas for both countries to strengthen their geopolitical ties

Household savings haven’t fallen
May 20, 2024

Household savings haven’t fallen

Household savings have merely moved from financial to physical assets, with an increase over time

IMF’s $6 billion loan to Pakistan risks supporting its terror infrastructure
May 14, 2019

IMF’s $6 billion loan to Pakistan risks supporting its terror infrastructure

There is a deeper politics at play here, a politics of negotiation and a transaction of international power games that is diluting the dangers of Paki

India should look beyond money to draw Lanka closer
Nov 25, 2019

India should look beyond money to draw Lanka closer

We can’t match China’s financial heft but we can leverage our cultural connect with Sri Lanka to strengthen ties

India's Dangerous Investment Gap
Oct 25, 2016

India's Dangerous Investment Gap

With government overshooting its fiscal deficit target for the current financial year by a larger margin simply spending more and more might well hurt

India's telecom sector is staring at decimation, thanks to state action
Oct 30, 2019

India's telecom sector is staring at decimation, thanks to state action

The Supreme Court has ordered the companies to pay the government not just the dues but a hefty penalty -- as well interest on both

India-Maldives relations: Restoring a sense of normalcy?
Apr 16, 2024

India-Maldives relations: Restoring a sense of normalcy?

Although Muizzu is signalling a return to normalcy in the Maldives-India equation, his larger goal of reducing his country’s reliance on India still

India’s G20 Presidency and the Macroeconomic Dilemma
Oct 01, 2022

India’s G20 Presidency and the Macroeconomic Dilemma

To stave off the public debt crisis, a tailored long-term macroeconomic policy response is essential to address the challenges at hand.

India’s G20 presidency: Bridging the North-South divide
Feb 21, 2023

India’s G20 presidency: Bridging the North-South divide

For India’s G20 presidency to be successful, it would have to both prioritise the causes of the Global South and bridge the North-South divide

India’s lack of ‘strategic trust’ in neighbourhood
Jul 07, 2020

India’s lack of ‘strategic trust’ in neighbourhood

The ‘structural imbalance’ in South Asia is a contribution of geography and political history — but also has a deeper context and meaning.

India’s ‘true gesture of goodwill’ towards Maldives
May 21, 2024

India’s ‘true gesture of goodwill’ towards Maldives

Despite turbulent ties with Maldives, India recently extended budgetary support of nearly US$ 50 million

Is China the world’s loan shark?
Jul 18, 2019

Is China the world’s loan shark?

Developing countries owe Beijing a lot more money than is commonly realized. This is how empires start.

Is Sri Lanka transitioning from an economic crisis to recovery?
May 19, 2023

Is Sri Lanka transitioning from an economic crisis to recovery?

Sri Lanka is emerging from its crippling economic crisis through stabilisation efforts of the Wickremasinghe government and Indian aid

Leveraging the Global Macroeconomic Environment for Recovery and Growth: Opportunities for G20 Under India’s Presidency
Aug 04, 2022

Leveraging the Global Macroeconomic Environment for Recovery and Growth: Opportunities for G20 Under India’s Presidency

The global macroeconomy has undergone unprecedented change in recent years, particularly because of the COVID-19 pandemic. While the G20 had an effective coordinating role in steering the global economy through the 2008 global financial crisis, its role in engineering an inclusive and sustainable recovery from the pandemic has been more mixed. Incomes in the advanced G20 economies are on track to return to pre-pandemic levels by end-2022 but have

Maldives' import-reliant economic landscape
Feb 29, 2024

Maldives' import-reliant economic landscape

As Maldives faces a complex economic landscape driven by import dependencies and fiscal policy challenges, strategic policymaking is imperative

Maldives: Majlis elects Nasheed Speaker, maiden resolution invites Modi to address the House
Jun 03, 2019

Maldives: Majlis elects Nasheed Speaker, maiden resolution invites Modi to address the House

All nations, including India, would be watching for inclinations on how the ‘new Maldives’ intends to avoid a China-induced ‘debt-trap’ of the

Maldives: The effects of domestic politics on foreign policy
Jan 06, 2023

Maldives: The effects of domestic politics on foreign policy

The Maldivian domestic politics today is in constant flux as the presidential elections draw close

Maldives: Whither 'international community'?
Sep 01, 2017

Maldives: Whither 'international community'?

Neither Yameen, nor his ministers have explained how getting eternally indebted to China would help in the economic independence of Maldives.

MDB Reform: Needs, approaches, missteps
Mar 15, 2024

MDB Reform: Needs, approaches, missteps

While the recent push for MDB transformation is welcome and reform urgently needed, the IEG report’s recommendations should be evaluated more critic

Microfinance, low-income borrowers, and digital loans: Good intent, mixed signals
May 04, 2022

Microfinance, low-income borrowers, and digital loans: Good intent, mixed signals

To ensure responsible borrowing, FinTechs should build a credit assessment framework that the microfinance industry can adopt to help keep low-income

Minding the balance of payment gaps in Sri Lanka
Aug 22, 2022

Minding the balance of payment gaps in Sri Lanka

Immediate measures need to be taken to ensure that the economic impact of the pandemic, the domestic political turmoil, or the Ukraine–Russia confli

Muizzu’s landslide victory in Maldives
Apr 25, 2024

Muizzu’s landslide victory in Maldives

The recent election victory of Muizzu indicates that Maldives may lean towards China in the coming years

Muizzu’s Maldives is missing the ‘Geo’ in geopolitics
Jan 11, 2024

Muizzu’s Maldives is missing the ‘Geo’ in geopolitics

The island nation has bigger problems than tourism and India-Out—it is getting crushed in an Islamist-China pincer

Myanmar’s trade relations with China
Mar 31, 2023

Myanmar’s trade relations with China

The trade relationship between Myanmar and China continues to flourish despite the growing domestic instability in Myanmar

Net zero by 2070: Financing India’s biggest infrastructure buildup
Feb 23, 2024

Net zero by 2070: Financing India’s biggest infrastructure buildup

India's goal of reaching net zero presents a crucial challenge and opportunity. Its success depends on financing key sectors effectively, thus, shapin

New kids on the bloc
Aug 26, 2023

New kids on the bloc

As BRICS expands to 11 members, the challenge ahead will not be of who else joins BRICS, but what policy decisions are taken and how are they implemen

New Maldives President: India’s Friend or Foe?
Oct 17, 2023

New Maldives President: India’s Friend or Foe?

It likely that Malé will remain sensitive to India’s broad strategic concerns around China, but will likely push also for closer ties to Beijing.

Pakistan budget 2020-21: The numbers don’t add up
Jun 16, 2020

Pakistan budget 2020-21: The numbers don’t add up

Without deep structural reform, which includes reducing the size of government and curtailing the expenses on the overbearing and overfed holy cow —

Pakistan economy on ‘stand-by’ for now
Jul 01, 2023

Pakistan economy on ‘stand-by’ for now

The Stand-By Agreement from the IMF staves off the possibility of Pakistan defaulting on its debt, but only temporarily, not indefinitely.

Pakistan: Budgeting for a bankrupt economy, broken polity
Jun 08, 2023

Pakistan: Budgeting for a bankrupt economy, broken polity

The budget will be passed under what are probably the most difficult and trying circumstances in Pakistan's history

Pakistan: Persisting instability
Dec 19, 2023

Pakistan: Persisting instability

Going into 2024, Pakistan remains in the throes of a polycrisis, without a clear roadmap on how to navigate it

Pakistan’s economic challenges amidst political drama
Feb 10, 2024

Pakistan’s economic challenges amidst political drama

No matter the winner, Pakistan’s economy will make it difficult for the incoming government to meet election promises

Pakistan’s tragedy of errors: IMF et al.
Jun 21, 2023

Pakistan’s tragedy of errors: IMF et al.

Pakistan's borrowing history has discouraged IMF and its allies from providing fresh loans or restructuring existing ones.

Pakistan’s troubles are an opportunity to make it a normal country
Feb 06, 2023

Pakistan’s troubles are an opportunity to make it a normal country

Avoiding a debt default is virtually impossible, but this crisis can be an opportunity for Pakistan to redeem itself

Politics of a bailout: Lessons for Pakistan from the Sri Lankan crisis
Jun 09, 2023

Politics of a bailout: Lessons for Pakistan from the Sri Lankan crisis

Pakistan can draw crucial lessons from Sri Lanka’s success as the former continues to negotiate for a US$ 1.1-billion tranche from the IMF to stabil

Politics of oil amidst the Venezuela crisis
Jul 17, 2019

Politics of oil amidst the Venezuela crisis

The defect in Venezuelan economy led to its dependence on oil.

Quantitative Easing variants in Emerging Markets: Magic or madness?
Jan 23, 2021

Quantitative Easing variants in Emerging Markets: Magic or madness?

Often likened to financing fiscal deficits overnight, Quantitative Easing is meant to prevent unwarranted tightening during times of stress.

Reading 10 years of BRI from an African perspective
Oct 19, 2023

Reading 10 years of BRI from an African perspective

The BRI was conceptualised under the ethos of the Chinese proverb, “If you want to get rich, build roads first”; however, China is adapting its ap

Revamping BRI in post-coup Myanmar
Dec 08, 2022

Revamping BRI in post-coup Myanmar

Myanmar government is proceeding with the BRI projects in an attempt to resuscitate the economy but this could come at a huge cost

Shrinking Chinese demand, loan volumes weaken Africa’s growth prospects
Jun 12, 2024

Shrinking Chinese demand, loan volumes weaken Africa’s growth prospects

Africa's economic dependence on China means the latter’s slowdown and shift to green and high-tech sectors harm Africa's economic prospect

South Asia South Asia Weekly 7
Feb 24, 2008

South Asia South Asia Weekly 7

The tiny nation's economy has become yet another victim of the protracted ethnic conflict between Tamils and Sinhalese. This week, Standard and Poor credit rating agency has downgraded the rating of Sri Lanka from 'stable' to 'negative' reflecting concerns about the weak fiscal consolidation efforts and the unfavourable trends evident in the country's debt profile.

Sri Lanka to review India’s role in Colombo Port terminal work
Jul 17, 2020

Sri Lanka to review India’s role in Colombo Port terminal work

The two countries are holding talks for India to reschedule Sri Lanka’s $900 million India debt.

Sri Lanka: Between economic recovery and relapse
Mar 27, 2023

Sri Lanka: Between economic recovery and relapse

As Sri Lanka enters the crucial phase of debt restructuring, it will have to balance its domestic and external pressures