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French officials in Syrian custody could rock Sarkozy's electoral boat
Mar 03, 2012

French officials in Syrian custody could rock Sarkozy's electoral boat

Should the story of the French in Syrian custody become public in France, the voters will ask: did the government sanction illegal entry of our soldiers into foreign countries? Is the Syrian rebellion an imported rebellion?

Abandon ad hocism, focus sharp on the Maoist menace
Apr 30, 2012

Abandon ad hocism, focus sharp on the Maoist menace

The trends emerging from Odisha and Chhattisgarh following the latest kidnappings of popular officials confirm to a certain global pattern - desperation leads to unpopular acts. These measures suggest they become considerably weaker and are making desperate attempts to wage easy propaganda.

Afghanistan Today & Tomorrow
Oct 11, 2010

Afghanistan Today & Tomorrow

Saeed Naqvi, Distinguished Fellow at ORF, recently journeyed across Afghanistan where he met scores of political leaders, Taleban, US officials, filmmakers, journalists, NGOs, religious leaders and ordinary Afghans. The result is an insightful document on Afghanistan at the crossroads. Do Americans have an Endgame planned? Or, more important, can a superpower in a theatre of strategic importance, have a linear exit plan when multiple strategic op

All this to Nab Terrorists
Dec 21, 2004

All this to Nab Terrorists

There are only two ways to look at the recent decision of the US administration to arm Pakistan with new weapons. First, as the Bush administration officials have been trying, rather hard, to convince the international community, particularly India, that the weapons they are selling to President Pervez Musharraf¿s Pakistan are meant to fight terrorism.

Bangladesh too on the Chinese radar
Jul 29, 2020

Bangladesh too on the Chinese radar

Bangladesh, like many countries, is struggling with the challenge of the Chinese-origin Covid-19 as well as corruption charges against health officials.

Brexit: A challenge for UK, an opportunity for India
Nov 24, 2018

Brexit: A challenge for UK, an opportunity for India

British officials have been signalling that Brexit could augur well for trade ties between India and the EU as the two nations would find it easier to conclude a free trade pact without the involvement of the entire panoply of EU member states.

China Weekly Report | Volume VI; Issue 32 | State Council pledges allegiance to the constitution
Sep 20, 2016

China Weekly Report | Volume VI; Issue 32 | State Council pledges allegiance to the constitution

In 2015, China decided that officials at all levels, courts and procuratorates should take a public oath of allegiance to the constitution.

China Weekly Report | Volume VI; Issue 38 | China, India pledge to enhance mutual trust, safe-guard border peace
Nov 16, 2016

China Weekly Report | Volume VI; Issue 38 | China, India pledge to enhance mutual trust, safe-guard border peace

Senior defense officials from China and India vowed to enhance the strategic mutual trust and pragmatic cooperation and other weekly roundups from China

China-US Nuclear Arms Control Talks: A Much-Needed First Step
Nov 17, 2023

China-US Nuclear Arms Control Talks: A Much-Needed First Step

Ahead of the anticipated Biden-Xi meeting, officials from both sides met in Washington for arms control and nonproliferation talks.

China’s ‘spy ship’ poses a dilemma for New Delhi
Aug 20, 2022

China’s ‘spy ship’ poses a dilemma for New Delhi

India’s security officials worry that China would use the ship’s visit as a precedent for future deployments by Chinese warships to Sri Lanka.

Choppy waters: On the Italian marines decision
Jul 13, 2020

Choppy waters: On the Italian marines decision

Exercise of foreign criminal jurisdiction over state officials — as India attempted to do so — is successful in very few cases, and depends on the

Current Intelligence system inadequate to meet future challenges
Mar 03, 2015

Current Intelligence system inadequate to meet future challenges

There is a consensus among intelligence officials, current and erstwhile, that the future challenges cannot be foreseen as they will emanate from the cyber world, space, the ocean, failed states and fundamentalism. The current intelligence system is woefully inadequate to meet these threats.

Decoding India's Abstention on UNHRC Vote
Aug 10, 2015

Decoding India's Abstention on UNHRC Vote

In what is being touted as a major shift in Indian policy towards Israel, New Delhi abstained from a vote against Israel at the UN Human Rights Commission. The UN human rights body called for Israel's accountability in alleged war crimes committed by its officials during the conflict in Gaza in July 2014.

Examining Pakistan Army's new doctrine
Jan 04, 2013

Examining Pakistan Army's new doctrine

Pakistan Army recently declared adopting a new doctrine of war fighting, termed sub-conventional warfare, in its policy document, the Green Book. The book, published at regular intervals, is a manual of new doctrines and guidelines which the GHQ distributes among senior military officials.

For Europe, all publicity is not good publicity
Nov 15, 2022

For Europe, all publicity is not good publicity

The EU and its officials should not alienate the world at a time when it is in need of partners in the midst of the Ukraine crisis

Germany’s conviction of Syrian secret police officer sets a precedence
Mar 06, 2021

Germany’s conviction of Syrian secret police officer sets a precedence

Human rights lawyers and legal activists hope that the testimonies and evidence presented to the court in the Al-Khatib trial can be used in other pro

Hands across the Himalayas
Feb 05, 2011

Hands across the Himalayas

The author, who was part of the ORF delegation which took part in discussions with Chinese party and government officials, says that the possibilities for India and China to collaborate must transcend boundary disputes and other age-old issues.

Hope on Abe and Modi to take relations to a new height
Jul 16, 2014

Hope on Abe and Modi to take relations to a new height

There is a strong sense in Japan today that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and India's new Prime Minister Narendra Modi would take India-Japan relations to a new height, say senior officials and scholars in japan.

India and Counterforce: A Question of Evidence
May 14, 2020

India and Counterforce: A Question of Evidence

Even as India has had a long-running debate about many aspects of its nuclear doctrine, most importantly, its No First Use (NFU) policy, the country continues to maintain the NFU. This paper makes a critical assessment of recent arguments made by Christopher Clary and Vipin Narang that India may be reconsidering its NFU policy because of counterforce “temptations”. The paper dissects the evidence they present—statements made by mostly retir

India can't afford to lower its guard against Pakistan
May 30, 2011

India can't afford to lower its guard against Pakistan

Al-Qaida has put Pakistan at the top of its priorities. Its leaders judge Pakistan as the most vulnerable country for them to hijack, while independent estimates by security and intelligence officials suggest that Pakistan has the capability to add 8-10 China-model low-yield nuclear weapons in its kitty every year.

Indian Ocean Dialogue - 2015
Sep 28, 2015

Indian Ocean Dialogue - 2015

Perth hosted the second edition of the Indian Ocean Dialogue from September 5-7. Eighty-seven officials and representatives from think tanks and civil societies participated in the proceedings. The dialogue concluded with the release of the Perth Consensus.

India’s peacekeeping mission in the Congo suffers shock
Aug 09, 2022

India’s peacekeeping mission in the Congo suffers shock

The recent death of two BSF personnel indicates that the UN officials should double down on preventing public disaffection and alienation from torpedo

Indo-Pak ties: Increasing people-to-people contact is the way forward
Feb 12, 2013

Indo-Pak ties: Increasing people-to-people contact is the way forward

A desire to find a solution to the conflict that plagues both India and Pakistan was the common thread that run through the discussion at ORF on the bilateral relations and the way forward between Indian experts and retired military officials from Pakistan.

Jaishankar in Moscow: India’s Russian Roulette
Nov 10, 2022

Jaishankar in Moscow: India’s Russian Roulette

Russia will wait and watch to see the impact of winter on Western public opinion, and Ukraine is counting on its battlefield gains to secure a lasting momentum. That the West is getting restless about Ukraine's position is evident from the backchannel negotiations between the US and Russian officials.

Jammu and Kashmir: On the Cusp of Change, But Challenges Remain
Jun 17, 2022

Jammu and Kashmir: On the Cusp of Change, But Challenges Remain

The recent killings of minorities, migrant workers, and local police officers in the Kashmir Valley have led to an impression that the security situation in Jammu and Kashmir is once again becoming uncontrollable. On ground, however, the situation is said to be firmly under the control of the Indian State. This does not mean that terrorism has been eliminated; small terrorist groups continue to operate and attack soft targets, heightening the sen

Maldives:  A case for 'institutional reforms'
Jul 20, 2012

Maldives: A case for 'institutional reforms'

The January 16 arrest of Criminal Court Chief Justice Abdulla Mohammed, and the subsequent prosecution of then President Mohammed Nasheed, his Defence Minister Tholhath Ibrahim Kaleyfaanu and three senior army officials now should indicate the kind of 'institutional reforms' that Maldives requires.

Maldives: Towards a free and peaceful poll
Sep 05, 2013

Maldives: Towards a free and peaceful poll

There is a need for all-party coordination committees at the island and atoll-levels, besides at the highest level, to ensure a smooth presidential polls on September 7. There is also a greater need for coordination between the police and the EC officials at all levels.

Modi, Rajapaksa revive hopes on dead-locked fishers' talks
May 31, 2014

Modi, Rajapaksa revive hopes on dead-locked fishers' talks

New Indian Prime Minister and Sri Lankan President should attempt to take forward the fishers' talks, promised to be continued/revived by their respective Heads of Government at their Delhi meeting, and then have their officials create the structures and super-structures aimed at implementing those decisions.

Nepal: A hub for transnational gold smuggling?
Aug 21, 2023

Nepal: A hub for transnational gold smuggling?

Gold smuggling in Nepal exposes the nexus between smugglers, officials, and politicians.

Once Again, Concerns Arise About China-Pakistan WMD Nexus
Mar 11, 2024

Once Again, Concerns Arise About China-Pakistan WMD Nexus

Indian customs officials reportedly intercepted a Malta-flagged merchant ship carrying a computer numerical control machine en route from China to Pakistan.

Outrage against fake Bhutanese refugee scam in Nepal
May 30, 2023

Outrage against fake Bhutanese refugee scam in Nepal

Even though the Nepal government is determined to bring the culprits of the fake Bhutanese refugee scam to justice, a grain of suspicion remains since

Reclaiming the Indo-Pacific: A political-military strategy for Quad 2.0
Mar 27, 2018

Reclaiming the Indo-Pacific: A political-military strategy for Quad 2.0

After a decade, officials from India, Japan, Australia and the United States convened in Manila in November 2017 to renew their quadrilateral cooperation in the Indo-Pacific. While the agenda of the quad is still unknown, this paper presents a political-military strategy for the grouping directed at shaping Chinese behaviour in the region. Viewing strategy through the ends-means-ways lens, the paper describes key objectives of dissuasion, deterre

Social Media and Political Leaders: An Exploratory Analysis
Jul 21, 2023

Social Media and Political Leaders: An Exploratory Analysis

Politicians have always used the media to communicate with the electorate. What makes social media unique is the scale, speed, and minimal cost at which leaders can do this task. This paper analyses the relationship between political leaders and the microblogging site, Twitter. It provides a comprehensive and systematic analysis of the use of Twitter by two contemporary Indian political leaders—Narendra Modi and Rahul Gandhi. It describ

Sri Lanka: Moving away from bottom-trawling still the way out for TN fishers?
Sep 26, 2014

Sri Lanka: Moving away from bottom-trawling still the way out for TN fishers?

The much-publicised first round of the officials-level talks on resolving the India-Sri Lanka fishing issue has ended up as a non-starter. However, hopes still cannot be ruled out for a possible, if not early, solution.

Talking to the Taliban
May 18, 2020

Talking to the Taliban

India has maintained that there is no such thing as a ‘good’ or ‘bad’ Taliban, and that it views the group under a single umbrella. While dipl

The Caucasus and Iraq - The Chechen Connection
Jun 25, 2004

The Caucasus and Iraq - The Chechen Connection

On June 22, 2004, over 200 well-armed persons simultaneously raided three towns in the Ingushetia Republic of Russia, adjoining Chechnya, and attacked police stations, government buildings and checkpoints with automatic weapons and rocket-propelled grenades. The Russian and the local security forces were totally taken by surprise. Ninety-five persons were killed, the majority of them members of the security forces and other Government officials,

The future of the Quad in the Indo-Pacific
Feb 22, 2024

The future of the Quad in the Indo-Pacific

Despite detractions, the Quad must continue to do what it is doing—to focus on delivery of its promises and to build on areas of success

The Maldives says it will never allow China to use its land for military purposes
Sep 06, 2015

The Maldives says it will never allow China to use its land for military purposes

During an interaction at ORF, Maldives' delegation of senior officials reassured the audience that the Maldivian Constitution continues to restrict establishment of foreign military facilities and that Male will never compromise the security balance of the Indian Ocean.

Towards Zero Deaths: Imperatives for Safer Indian Railways
Jan 21, 2021

Towards Zero Deaths: Imperatives for Safer Indian Railways

In 2019, the Indian Railways (IR) recorded zero fatalities from accidents caused by operational errors. However, many people continue to meet with train-related mishaps that are beyond the IR’s control; many of these accidents result in death. The IR’s experience in preventing deaths in accidents caused by operational errors (technically called “consequential accidents”) offers lessons on minimising all railways-related fatalities. This p

Understanding disease and shaping public health policy in a time of pandemic
May 23, 2023

Understanding disease and shaping public health policy in a time of pandemic

A pandemic of the viral disease COVID-19 has reached millions of people around the world with significant rates of mortality. With no specific treatments or vaccines in the immediate horizon, limiting contact with infected persons, the use of masks, and hand hygiene offer the only mitigation for now. This has led most countries to adopt severe isolation measures, which have in turn caused disruption of economic activity and increased unemployment

US–Pakistan relations in the Trump era: Resetting the terms of engagement in Afghanistan
Dec 24, 2017

US–Pakistan relations in the Trump era: Resetting the terms of engagement in Afghanistan

In a groundbreaking speech in August this year, US President Donald Trump laid out his government’s policy for South Asia, authorising more American troops to Afghanistan and insisting that Pakistan must either “do more” to restrain Islamist militants, or face consequences. Indian and Afghan governments have welcomed the new US policy approach. The major components of Trump’s Afghanistan strategy — recognising Pakistan’s role in provi

Walking the talk and talking tough: Biden’s East Asia outreach and the US-China dialogue
Mar 22, 2021

Walking the talk and talking tough: Biden’s East Asia outreach and the US-China dialogue

Ahead of Biden officials’ first meeting with Chinese envoys in Alaska, high-level visits to Japan and South Korea underscored the US’ representati

What India should do as Afghanistan plunges deeper into crisis
Aug 17, 2021

What India should do as Afghanistan plunges deeper into crisis

While Indian officials have participated in events where the Taliban have been present, India has been content to let others take the lead. We have, therefore, been unable to plan options for ensuring security of both the Indian nationals working in Afghanistan as well the diplomats at our embassy in Kabul, and this remains the primary responsibility at the moment.

When Myanmar opens up
Dec 29, 2011

When Myanmar opens up

The Government of Myanmar, in the past few weeks, has played host to a number of high-ranking foreign officials. These include the likes of the US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Thai Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra.

Why India’s 20 per cent club loves the status quo
Nov 03, 2018

Why India’s 20 per cent club loves the status quo

The CBI is #IASmukt, as is the CVC, whose commissioners are former income-tax, police and bank officials.

Will the Chinese anti-corruption campaign succeed?
Jul 08, 2015

Will the Chinese anti-corruption campaign succeed?

For over a year, China is running a huge anti-corruption campaign. More than 1,82,000 officials have been punished, including high ranking military officials, four national leaders and senior executives of state companies. However, this type of arbitrary and high-handed posture could backfire and become a catalyst for political crisis if it continues in the present way.

Workshop on 'The Naxalite Movement'
Jan 28, 2005

Workshop on 'The Naxalite Movement'

The ORF Chennai Chapter of Observer Research Foundation (ORF) brought together eminent, senior retired civil servants and police officials, well-known academicians and journalists and policy makers for two days, on January 28 & 29, 2005, at a Workshop on the Naxalite Movement. Mr D Raja, National Secretary, Communist Party of India, inaugurated the Workshop, which was conducted under the guidance of Mr B Raman, Distinguished Fellow and Convenor,

इंडो-पॅसिफिकमधील क्वाडचे भविष्य
Mar 19, 2024

इंडो-पॅसिफिकमधील क्वाडचे भविष्य

उणिवा असूनही, क्वाड जे करत आहे ते चालू ठेवले पाहिजे. म्हणज