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The 2020 US elections: What’s at stake for India?
Jun 12, 2020

The 2020 US elections: What’s at stake for India?

The dramatic change in just three months illustrates the unpredictable nature of US politics at an unpredictable time for the world — including Indi

The 2020s will be decade of digital lending with payments as steppingstone
Dec 22, 2020

The 2020s will be decade of digital lending with payments as steppingstone

As we move more towards a cash-flow based system of lending, companies are building their own risk assessment models for borrowers using both payment

The 2022 IPCC Climate Mitigation Report: Our final chance to reach 1.5 degrees
Apr 08, 2022

The 2022 IPCC Climate Mitigation Report: Our final chance to reach 1.5 degrees

The recently released IPCC report highlights the measures that need to be undertaken to achieve climate mitigation targets and the obstacles that will

The 20th Party Congress and China’s New Roadmap
Aug 28, 2023

The 20th Party Congress and China’s New Roadmap

The 20th Party Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) in October 2022 and the subsequent leadership reshuffle gave a new mandate to a ruling elite that will sit at the helm till 2027. It happened at a time when the CPC is facing strong headwinds, among them a tech war with the United States (US) and a downturn in the domestic economy as a result of President Xi Jinping’s ‘zero-COVID-19’ policy. The CPC saw the protests that ensued a

The 9 April tragedy — a milestone in the history of modern Georgia
Apr 10, 2019

The 9 April tragedy — a milestone in the history of modern Georgia

9 April 1989 had significant political consequences not only for Georgia but for the entire Soviet Union.

The abolition of cantonments: What does it entail for urban local bodies?
Jul 06, 2023

The abolition of cantonments: What does it entail for urban local bodies?

There are concerns about how well the newly merged cantonments will be governed under the ULBs

The Abraham Accords as India’s West Asia bridge
Aug 21, 2021

The Abraham Accords as India’s West Asia bridge

The signing of the Accords has helped remove strategic obstacles for New Delhi and aided defence cooperation

The Abraham Accords: Powerlifting West Asia’s geopolitics
May 11, 2022

The Abraham Accords: Powerlifting West Asia’s geopolitics

Rather than pinning all hopes to mitigate regional tensions in West Asia on the Abraham accords, regional actors should establish new channels of comm

The Abrahamic Middle East — Will Israeli-Arab alignment on Iran create a new equilibrium for peace? 
Dec 28, 2020

The Abrahamic Middle East — Will Israeli-Arab alignment on Iran create a new equilibrium for peace? 

Despite the narrative of ‘peace’ around the Abraham Accords, it is not to be forgotten that the harbinger of this accord is ‘deterrence’ — b

The accidental empire rises again
Apr 07, 2015

The accidental empire rises again

Berlin might not yet be ready to provide the kind of leadership that some expect, but the real "German question" seems to be whether Europe can really stomach German leadership. Given the uneasy reactions to Merkel's handling of the Eurozone crisis, the answer is clearly no.

The Africa Climate Action Performance Report
Aug 12, 2022

The Africa Climate Action Performance Report

Although Africa’s greenhouse gas emissions are low, its contribution to climate change mitigation is critical to global climate action. This report evaluates Africa’s climate policy through the lens of ‘common but differentiated responsibilities,’ an asymmetrical allocation of responsibility for climate action, determined by differences in countries’ contributions to historical emissions and their current capabilities to fight climate c

The African continental free trade area and its implications for India-Africa trade
Oct 08, 2018

The African continental free trade area and its implications for India-Africa trade

The African countries are set to launch the African Continental Free Trade Area or AfCFTA, the biggest free trade agreement in the world since the World Trade Organization was created in the 1990s. When implemented, the AfCFTA is projected to increase intra-African trade by 52.3 percent by 2022, from 2010 levels. In turn, higher trade levels can facilitate economic growth, transform domestic economies, and help the countries achieve the Sustainab

The agony and irony of Imran Khan’s disqualification
Oct 22, 2022

The agony and irony of Imran Khan’s disqualification

Election Commission of Pakistan’s disqualification of highly popular former Prime Minister Imran Khan will have far-reaching consequences for the co

The Al Qaeda Striptease
Sep 02, 2004

The Al Qaeda Striptease

ACT 1: March 2002. Abu Zubaidah, a Palestinian member of Al Qaeda, was arrested in Faislabad in Pakistani Punjab by the Pakistani authorities and handed over to the USA's Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). He was the operational chief of Al Qaeda; his arrest was a major breakthrough, we were told. This is hardly supported by the report of the 9/11 Commission.

The al Qaeda Striptease Continues
May 05, 2005

The al Qaeda Striptease Continues

How big a catch is Abu Faraj al-Libbi, a 40-year-old Libyan married to a Pakistani, fluent in Urdu and Arabic and suffering from lucoderma, whose arrest was announced by the Pakistani authorities at Islamabad on May 4,2005?

The Allahabad High Court Verdict on Ayodhya and the Popular Will
Oct 07, 2010

The Allahabad High Court Verdict on Ayodhya and the Popular Will

While the UP Sunni Central Waqf Board is well within its right to appeal to the Supreme Court against the Allahabad High Court verdict, the VHP's reaction does not represent the people's will at all.

The Alliance of Sahel States: A regional crisis in troubled West Africa
Mar 01, 2024

The Alliance of Sahel States: A regional crisis in troubled West Africa

The establishment of the Alliance of Sahel States by Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger and their withdrawal from ECOWAS undoes the decades of regional int

The alphabet soup at Goa
Oct 13, 2016

The alphabet soup at Goa

This weekend at Goa Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his foreign policy team will undertake a significant manoeuvre with SAARC grouping gasping for breath

The ambiguities in India's attempt at data protection
Dec 17, 2022

The ambiguities in India's attempt at data protection

While the new DPDPB 2022 is a more comprehensive bill, the underlined aim is to protect the data fiduciaries than to protect users from exploitation.

The Americas: Trump was not just another brick in the ‘wall’
Nov 02, 2020

The Americas: Trump was not just another brick in the ‘wall’

Looking beyond ‘The Wall’: Continuity and Change in US policy towards the Americas under the Trump Administration

The Andaman and Nicobar Islands: Indian Territory, Regional Potential
Sep 27, 2021

The Andaman and Nicobar Islands: Indian Territory, Regional Potential

Often referred to as among the most strategically located island chains in the world, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands are critical for India’s strategic interests. The islands comprise the sole archipelago in the Bay and they straddle important sea channels. As the long-standing protectionist regime in the islands morphs into a more flexible form of governance that will balance development with conservation, the stage appears set for India to c

The Arab divide on Syria
Sep 02, 2013

The Arab divide on Syria

The Libyan case is vastly different from that of Syria. The maverick Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi had few friends in the Arab League. Unlike Libya, Syria is a critical element of the regional balance of power in the Middle East.

The Arab Spring & India: Promises and Challenges
Jul 20, 2011

The Arab Spring & India: Promises and Challenges

Saeed Naqvi, Distinguished Fellow at the Observer Research Foundation, traveled to Bahrain, Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia, Baghdad, Najaf, Amman, Cairo, Jerusalem and Ramallah after the Arab Spring broke out. Earlier, he visited Tunisia, Iran, Yemen, Somalia, Sudan, Western Sahara and Libya. In this paper, he shares his first-hand experiences and discussions with leaders and diplomats, many of whom have requested anonymity. This paper follows

The Arab Spring at 10: A more complex West Asia
Dec 19, 2020

The Arab Spring at 10: A more complex West Asia

The Arab Spring taught everyone that democracy, transition and political movements are not a spectator sport, but require rigour, time, planning and c

The arrival of air taxis: A need for a new drone policy
Jan 05, 2024

The arrival of air taxis: A need for a new drone policy

With commercial drone operation just around the corner, relevant guidelines need to be introduced to ensure the smooth and safe functioning

The arrow effect of demonetisation and GST
Aug 02, 2017

The arrow effect of demonetisation and GST

If technology and data analytics has delivered results around demonetisation and direct taxes, the GST goes one step ahead on the GST and indirect tax

The art of the deal with America
Jan 29, 2015

The art of the deal with America

To understand the strategic significance of the second summit meeting between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Barack Obama, it is necessary to look beyond the very important and tangible outcomes that the two leaders have unveiled.

The Astana process: Syrian peace negotiations and its nine lives
Jan 30, 2017

The Astana process: Syrian peace negotiations and its nine lives

The Syrian conflict has now been raging for over half a decade, with hundreds of thousands dead and millions displaced.

The Australia-India-Japan-US Quadrilateral: Dissecting the China Factor
Aug 10, 2020

The Australia-India-Japan-US Quadrilateral: Dissecting the China Factor

This paper analyses the domestic compulsions in Australia, India, Japan and the US that are influencing their positions on the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad). The paper notes that as the four countries are becoming increasingly aware of the risks posed by China’s rise over the last few years, they have sought to converge to the Quad. For Australia, the concerns are over trade dependency on China, and China’s sharp power projection and

The autumn of the Queen
Sep 22, 2017

The autumn of the Queen

Angela Merkel will win the German elections on Sunday, but her power base is quickly eroding. Here is how she needs to change course.

The Bangladesh Army: Documenting its Corporate Interests
Nov 24, 2010

The Bangladesh Army: Documenting its Corporate Interests

Little is known and even less understood about the 2,00,000-strong Bangladesh Army's corporate interests. The importance of the subject owes itself to the fact that the army has been a veritable power of stability in a country that has been dogged by decades of unending political turmoil. The fact that the Army had to step in to keep the country from slipping into a political abyss in 2006 underlines the criticality of its role in providing stabi

The battle of narratives and the Russian response to the Crocus attacks
Apr 09, 2024

The battle of narratives and the Russian response to the Crocus attacks

In Moscow’s calculus, the Crocus attacks require a thorough investigation to ascertain the actors involved in the attacks, apart from the Islamic St

The Bay of Bengal in the Emerging Indo-Pacific
May 12, 2023

The Bay of Bengal in the Emerging Indo-Pacific

This brief looks at the growing strategic significance of the Bay of Bengal within the emerging and increasingly contested geography of the Indo-Pacific. In three parts, the brief outlines the historic evolution of the littoral, examines the implications of its strategic location at the heart of the Indo-Pacific, and ponders the unfolding challenges to regionalism in the Bay of Bengal. It concludes with a call on India to intensify its efforts to

The Belt and Road Forum: Two years on
Apr 24, 2019

The Belt and Road Forum: Two years on

The BRI is fast evolving from a patchwork of infrastructure investments to an alternative model for the international system centered around Beijing.

The Belt and Road Initiative: A true win-win situation or a double win for China?
Nov 24, 2021

The Belt and Road Initiative: A true win-win situation or a double win for China?

BRI has so far only contributed to the rise of GHGs and not to the GDP of the host countries. Is China accruing economic benefits while exporting carb

The Bengaluru floods: The rising challenge of urban floods in India
Oct 15, 2022

The Bengaluru floods: The rising challenge of urban floods in India

India already ranks very high among countries in terms of disaster events with urban floods now being added to the list

The BEST chance
Jul 05, 2019

The BEST chance

A slew of reforms announced for Mumbai’s public transport buses can potentially change BEST’s fortunes, but doubts prevail.

The best of both worlds
Nov 15, 2013

The best of both worlds

The West has finally woken up to something that strategic analysts in India have been saying for decades: Saudi Arabia funded the Pakistani nuclear programme. In this connection, we have three questions to analyse; First, how valid is this information? Second, how is it then that Saudi Arabia gets away with so much? Third, why is Nato and Israeli intelligence taken seriously but not the Indians?

The Bhagidari Programme of Delhi Government
Jun 04, 2008

The Bhagidari Programme of Delhi Government

In January 2000, the Government of National Capital Territory of Delhi initiated a 'Bhagidari Programme' as an attempt to resolve the various problems being faced by the city's residents. Smt. Sheila Dikshit, the Honorable Chief Minister of Delhi, visited the Observer Research Foundation campus on April 10, 2008 to make a presentation on the programme. The discussion was facilitated by Ambassador M. Rasgotra. This discourse is an abridged documen

The Biden administration’s inheritance — US-Taliban deal: Review, recalibrate or replace?
Jan 31, 2021

The Biden administration’s inheritance — US-Taliban deal: Review, recalibrate or replace?

President Biden has been left in charge of responsibly withdrawing from Afghanistan, while holding the Taliban accountable and not leaving the Afghan

The big GST question
Aug 06, 2019

The big GST question

GST is clearly underperforming - so what should the govt do now?

THE BIGGER PICTURE: Can China and India now press the reset button?
Aug 27, 2013

THE BIGGER PICTURE: Can China and India now press the reset button?

China is looking at their problems and working on them and willing to shift established positions if the situation so demands, while India seems to be trapped in the verities of the past and are unable to move beyond tired slogans and nostrums.

The biggest winner of Brazil’s elections: The ‘beef, bible, and bullets’ movement
Oct 07, 2022

The biggest winner of Brazil’s elections: The ‘beef, bible, and bullets’ movement

The biggest takeaway of this election is that Brazil’s conservative political movement, underpinned by the “beef, bible, and bullets” trifecta,

The Bike-Taxi Alternative to Enhancing Urban Mobility in India
Aug 14, 2023

The Bike-Taxi Alternative to Enhancing Urban Mobility in India

Despite concerted efforts to improve urban public transport, the use of personal vehicles has increased across India. City administrations must consider promoting the use of paratransit vehicles, such as bike-taxis, that can provide ridership to more commuters than a private vehicle. While bike-taxis are prevalent in some Indian cities, their use is curtailed elsewhere in the country by state policy and statutes. Amid growing city congest

The bilateral transformation
Jan 02, 2019

The bilateral transformation

India and Bangladesh must seize the opportunity to further enhance connectivity and trade ties

The BIMSTEC and issue of regional integration
Jan 15, 2021

The BIMSTEC and issue of regional integration

The big challenge before BIMSTEC is to muster public support for the regional forum.