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The Iran vote and after
Feb 17, 2006

The Iran vote and after

The excitement of the Board of Governor's meeting is over and the participants have not been slow to express their views at the outcome. The Iranians are defiant, the Americans triumphant, the Russians cautious, the Europeans smug, the Chinese inscrutable, the Arabs joyous at directing a new argument at Israel, the latter pleased over Iran's predicament yet angry over a dent in their nuclear ambiguity, and the Indians self-righteous.

The Limits of Military Coercion in Halting Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Programme
Aug 06, 2021

The Limits of Military Coercion in Halting Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Programme

Israel believes that the use of force is essential to stopping Iran from making the nuclear bomb. A vocal section of the strategic affairs community in the United States agrees with the proposition. This brief argues that military means are unlikely to sabotage the nuclear weapons programme of an advanced-stage bomb-seeker like Iran. Moreover, use of force could be counterproductive as it can incentivise Iran’s pursuit of the bomb, and it may e

The reshaping global order is Iranian economy's best chance in decades
Jul 28, 2023

The reshaping global order is Iranian economy's best chance in decades

Iran’s oil sales are at a five-year high as the US looks the other way despite sanctions. Iran is smartly undercutting Russia in selling cheaper oil and upset Saudi Arabia’s plan to profiteer from production cuts. The new world order being shaped amid the US-China battle for global supremacy equally belongs to countries charting independent paths

The Role of Iran in India’s Strategic Outreach in West Asia
Aug 14, 2024

The Role of Iran in India’s Strategic Outreach in West Asia

India’s relations with West Asia is among the country’s successes in foreign policy under Prime Minister Narendra Modi. One country conspicuous in its sub-par engagement with India, however, is Iran. This brief makes a case for a reset in Iran-India relations under Iran’s newly elected president and PM Modi’s third term. It examines the options and opportunities available to the two countries, and explores the recent changes in the region

The Trump challenge to India Iran ties
Jun 11, 2018

The Trump challenge to India Iran ties

The Narendra Modi government has shown signs that it doesn’t mean to let Trump’s stance on Iran derail the oil trade with it

The tussle for the Iranian Presidency
May 13, 2005

The tussle for the Iranian Presidency

Iranians take their soccer seriously. Iran's victory over Bahrain last week in the World Cup qualifier resulted in an outburst of rejoicing rarely seen in Teheran. Men and women (some without head scarves) danced on the streets and tore up posters of candidates in the June 17 presidential elections. The police did not interfere. Credible foreign observers have not confirmed reports of police brutality carried by some opposition news channels in t

The US-Iran Standoff and India
Feb 04, 2012

The US-Iran Standoff and India

While India would be hoping that the reported secret talks between the US and Iran succeeds, avoiding a conflict, New Delhi could take a leaf out of the Chinese and Japanese strategy of reducing its exposure to Iranian oil in return for a waiver from US sanctions.

The vital but delicate task of reviving the Iran deal
Mar 04, 2021

The vital but delicate task of reviving the Iran deal

Time is running out for the Joe Biden administration, but there is an opportunity for Brussels to take a lead role

Theocracy and Polls: The Iran Way
Jun 23, 2021

Theocracy and Polls: The Iran Way

While the supreme leader is there for life (or till he chooses to retire), the president is limited to two four-year terms, defining where the balance of power rests between them

Ties with Iran a sort of litmus test
May 25, 2018

Ties with Iran a sort of litmus test

While the Trump administration is in no mood to relent on its decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal, for India, the challenge is to preserve its own equities in Iran and the wider West Asian region.

US rapproachment with Iran a tectonic shift in regional balance of power
Jul 24, 2015

US rapproachment with Iran a tectonic shift in regional balance of power

Despite the sanctions, Iran has continued to act as a regional power with huge influence over the internal affairs of Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Bahrain and Yemen. That's what threatens Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf kingdoms, and America's rapproachment with Iran is the beginning of a tectonic shift in the regional balance of power.

US rhetoric dogs India-Iran ties
Jun 01, 2019

US rhetoric dogs India-Iran ties

The Trump administration’s attempts to create another West Asia crisis should worry India.

US-Iran conflict won’t leave India unscathed
Jan 07, 2020

US-Iran conflict won’t leave India unscathed

India has significant interests in the Persian Gulf region, but it appears to have dealt itself out of the game by tamely skewing its Middle East policy in favour of the informal US-Saudi Arabia-Israel coalition. Iran was given short shrift as New Delhi went along with Trump’s ‘maximum pressure’ policy on Iran. New Delhi’s motives may have been practical.

US-Iran conundrum: Not all doors are shut
Jun 06, 2024

US-Iran conundrum: Not all doors are shut

Iran’s leadership crisis may have come at an important time for the US, amid an ongoing political slugfest at home in an election cycle and a litmus test for US relations with Israel.

Vote against Iran: Abiding by 'good-behaviour norms'
Sep 28, 2005

Vote against Iran: Abiding by 'good-behaviour norms'

The debate about Iran's quest for nuclear energy is wholly enmeshed in the politics of US-Iran relationship. Iran is a signatory to the NPT and its additional protocol. It has obligations; it has rights. The focus of the west is on obligations, of Iran on rights. The North-South divide is reflected in the board of governors of the IAEA, with Russia and China supportive of the non-aligned who apprehend, as Washington Post put it,

What does Trump’s Iran deal withdrawal mean for India’s security?
May 14, 2018

What does Trump’s Iran deal withdrawal mean for India’s security?

Though the decision itself may not have been surprising, the consequences could be serious for New Delhi’s security.

What Iran did for India and why it is hurt
Oct 04, 2005

What Iran did for India and why it is hurt

Strikingly similar to the crisis that Iran faced at the IAEA Board meeting in Vienna last weekend, India too found itself in a tight spot in April 1994 at the United Nations Human Rights Commission's annual session in Geneva.

What Soleimani’s death means for Iran, West Asia and the world
Jan 04, 2020

What Soleimani’s death means for Iran, West Asia and the world

With his killing, the US has entered an area of unknowns. Iran cannot be underestimated

What’s in the growing Russia-China-Iran trilateral convergence?
Dec 24, 2019

What’s in the growing Russia-China-Iran trilateral convergence?

Potential security engagements among the three have spotlighted their increasing convergence.

Why a usual US bombing campaign will not bring Iran to heel
Apr 02, 2025

Why a usual US bombing campaign will not bring Iran to heel

For Trump, any amplified war with Iran will stand against his promises of not dragging the US into wars in faraway lands.

Why it is time to invest in Iran
Jul 21, 2015

Why it is time to invest in Iran

The opening of Iran will alter the geopolitics of south-western Asia. Even so, India needs to tread with care. But this should not in any way constrain our initiatives with Iran. We need to move beyond the phase of dithering that has characterised our ties with Tehran for the last decade.

Why it makes sense for India and China to cooperate on Iran’s Chabahar project
May 10, 2018

Why it makes sense for India and China to cooperate on Iran’s Chabahar project

The development of the Chabahar port needs to be viewed as Iran’s call for “engagement”.

Will the US take Iran's extended hand?
Sep 26, 2013

Will the US take Iran's extended hand?

The US may have lost interest in Iraq, but in Syria if it truly desires a diplomatic solution, then Iran has to be brought on board. This is what even the French are telling them. But will the US take the extended hand.

Will US-Iran tension spill over into India’s neighbourhood?
Jun 08, 2017

Will US-Iran tension spill over into India’s neighbourhood?

International tension surrounding Iran is yet to affect India, but New Delhi can make tactical gains by maintaining diplomatic flexibility.

'India was our friend'
Sep 29, 2005

'India was our friend'

Tehran has responded in a carefully structured, calibrated fashion to the resolution passed by the IAEA Board of Governors last Saturday regarding Iran's nuclear programme. We may not have heard the last word yet, but are quite close to it.

'पॅक्स इंडिका'ची वेळ?
Jun 28, 2024

'पॅक्स इंडिका'ची वेळ?

त्यांच्या तिसऱ्या कार्यकाळात, त्यांनी नॉर्वे आणि स्वित्झर्लंड यांच्यासारख्या देशांप्रमाणेच, शांतता प्रस्थापनेसाठी आक्रमक दृष्टीकोन स्वीकारावा. यामुळे भारताला त्या�

9/11 च्या हल्ल्यानंतर आता हमास अल-कायदा बनलीय
Oct 18, 2023

9/11 च्या हल्ल्यानंतर आता हमास अल-कायदा बनलीय

अलीकडे इस्रायलवर झालेल्या धक्कादायक दहशतवादी हल्ल्याचे परिणाम आता उलगडून लागले आहेत. हा हल्ला हराकाह अल-मुकावामाह अल-इस्लामिया किंवा हमास ने केला आहे.

A coalition that could help secure our Afghan interests
Sep 15, 2020

A coalition that could help secure our Afghan interests

New Delhi, Tehran and Moscow could coordinate their efforts on Afghanistan as the US exits

A low risk Pak retaliation to NATO attacks
Dec 02, 2011

A low risk Pak retaliation to NATO attacks

Pakistan has no option but to respond to public outrage. Blocking of the two NATO supply routes to Afghanistan and denying the use of a Baloch airfield to the CIA is actually a low risk retaliation when Iran, Hezbullah, Syria are much more in the eye of a huge, global storm.

A new disorder: Global economic multilateralism at an inflection point
Sep 24, 2019

A new disorder: Global economic multilateralism at an inflection point

French president Emmanuel Macron tried to manage the contradictions, but nothing of substance was achieved in Biarritz.

A New Silk Road Strategy for Afghanistan
Feb 08, 2013

A New Silk Road Strategy for Afghanistan

After the scheduled western forces drawdown from Afghanistan in 2014, one viable option that would assist Afghan economic development is the US-driven New Silk Road Strategy. But, China, Russia, and Iran have specific visions of a viable NSRS, and these do not necessarily sit well with the US strategy.

A New Year gift to Syria: A possible agreement?
Dec 28, 2012

A New Year gift to Syria: A possible agreement?

The US is entering its trickiest phase in the Af-Pak region, where elections are due in both, Pakistan and Afghanistan just around the time Washington has set for its troops to depart. Can troops depart without an overt or covert understanding with Iran which has a long border with Afghanistan?

A Plague on the Horizon: Concerns on the Proliferation of Drone Swarms
Oct 22, 2024

A Plague on the Horizon: Concerns on the Proliferation of Drone Swarms

In recent years, a number of states have begun integrating their armed drones into collaborative drone swarms. Although global proliferation can be anticipated, drone swarm proliferation should not be expected to be even or immediate. Some states may race to develop massive, armed drone swarms, while others may never develop sophisticated drone swarm capabilities. This brief explores why some states pursue drone swarms, why others may not, and th

A space monkey and the art of rocket diplomacy
Feb 15, 2013

A space monkey and the art of rocket diplomacy

Iran is being treated more like North Korea, even though it is one of the world's great civilisations, with major historical and scientific achievements. And, as anyone who has deeply analysed the personalities of Ahmadinejad and Kim Jong Un knows, they don't look like one another. Or like one another.

A time of anarchy
Dec 12, 2024

A time of anarchy

Bashar al-Assad’s ouster and South Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol's retreat underscore the importance of channelling people power through effective institutional frameworks

A. Q. Khan: The Ghost that Continues to Haunt
Dec 21, 2004

A. Q. Khan: The Ghost that Continues to Haunt

Dr.A. Q. Khan, the self-styled father of Pakistan's atomic bomb, is back in the headlines following a statement disseminated by the National Council of Resistance of Iran, a group opposed to the present regime in Teheran, on November 17, 2004, that between 1994 and 1996 (Mrs.Benazir Bhutto was then in power) Dr. Khan gave Iran a Chinese-developed nuclear warhead design.

Adopting a ‘wait and watch’ approach
Feb 26, 2018

Adopting a ‘wait and watch’ approach

Why India and Iran had modest expectations of President Hassan Rouhani’s visit to New Delhi this month

After Gaza, backsliding of counter-terrorism narrative
Apr 30, 2024

After Gaza, backsliding of counter-terrorism narrative

Counter-terror narratives are backsliding, and this trend needs to be arrested as a compromise with a section of these groups becomes an acceptable way out.

America’s déjà vu moment
May 01, 2024

America’s déjà vu moment

As the Biden administration grapples with the intricate interplay of domestic pressures and international obligations, particularly in the midst of an election year, there is a palpable sense of urgency to confront a myriad of challenges.

Arab Regimes Tottering Variously
Feb 19, 2011

Arab Regimes Tottering Variously

Regimes sympathic to the Palestinian plight would, to that extent, be insulted from peoples' wrath in Syria and Libya, for instance. Demonstrations in Iran and Libya are part of the internal turmoil in these countries, unrelated to the Palestinian issue.

Beijing's Afghan role
Dec 17, 2014

Beijing's Afghan role

China has good relations with most of Afghanistan's neighbours, including Iran, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. But it is Beijing's emerging partnership with the Pakistan army in Afghanistan that is the most interesting new element in the region.