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CENTRES
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As I was driven into the heart of Jakarta from its international airport, I could hardly believe I was in the capital of a Muslim country, with the world's largest Muslim population. I noticed very few external signs of the Islamic character of the country in the form of mosques, calls to prayers over powerful loudspeakers, quotations from the Holy Koran written on the walls, men with beard and a white cap and women with their heads covered .
The Hindu and Buddhist population has remained stable ever since Indonesia became independent in 1945. It goes to the credit of the Indonesian rulers and Muslim society that no attempt has been made to drive out the Hindus and Buddhists or forcibly convert them to Islam. Bali continues to be a Hindu majority island, with Hindus holding important positions in its civilian and police administration. The head of the police of Bali, who investigated the Bali bombing of October last year, is a Balinese Hindu. While there has been frequent anti-Christian violence in some parts of the country, there has rarely been any anti-Hindu or anti-Buddhist incident.
Since a large number of the ethnic Chinese population is Christian, it is difficult to say to what extent the violence was motivated by religious reasons (their being Christians) and to what extent by economic reasons (jealousy over their economic prosperity).
Compare this with Pakistan, where the Hindus, who constituted over 10 per cent of its population at the time of its independence in 1947, have since been reduced to about two per cent, the rest of them having been either massacred, driven out or forcibly converted to Islam.
It is into this oasis of Islam with benign features that malign influences, domestic as well as external in origin, have moved in and are threatening to make this country, close to India#146;s heart, an area of concern to the region and the world. The political landscape in Indonesia is marked by three different categories of Islamic elements, which have been contending among themselves for increasing influence over the hearts and minds of the people:
The hardline Islamic organisations, except the Hizb al-Tahrir, are the offspring of the Dar ul-Islam (DI)/Tentera Islam Indonesia (TII), which mean the Islamic State/the Army of Islam in Indonesia of the President Sloekarno period of the 1950s and the subsequent Negara Islam Indonesia---NII, which means the Islamic State of Indonesia and the Komando Jihad of the Soeharto period. As these groups were crushed or faded out, their surviving dregs gave birth to the new groups mentioned above. The Hizb al-Tahrir came to Indonesia from the Lebanon in 1972.
The emergence of these new jihadi organisations has been marked by an increase in the influence of the pan-Islamic ideas from the Arab countries and Pakistan on Indonesian Islam. The leaders of the new jihadi organisations are of Arab---particularly Yemeni---origin. The leader of the FPI is Habib Rizq Shihab; that of the Lashkar Jihad Ja#146;far Umar Thalib; that of the MMI Abu Bakar Baasyir, presently in jail; and that of the JAMI Habib Husen al-Habsyi.
The increasing Arb and Pakistani influence has been reflected in the increasing anti-Christian and anti-Jewish stands of these organisations and in the focus on the creation of an Islamic Caliphate in the South-East Asian region.
Amongst the other malign external influences, one could cite the following:
The Pakistani Islamic organisations fall into two categories:
Where does the Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) fit in? Is it an independent organisation with its own structure or is it merely an ideology or a concept to which other organisations subscribe or is it a united front of the various jihadi organisations of the region similar to the IIF on the intra-regional scale? The name Jemaah Islamiyah, like the names Jamaat-e-Islami (JEI) of Pakistan and the Al Gama Al Islamiyah of Egypt mean the same thing---the community or group of Islam. It designates a specific, independent organisation in Pakistan and Egypt, with its own structure. Similarly, the evidence available till now indicates that the JI also is a specific, independent organisation with its own structure and not just a concept or an ideology as stated by some analysts.
The JEI of Pakistan projects itself as a national organisation with no organisational presence outside. Despite this, the JEI of J&K in India and the JEI of Bangladesh, which project themselves as independent organisations, are viewed as mere appendages of the JEI of Pakistan. The JI, on the other hand, seems to be a regional organisation with its cadres drawn from the countries of the region, but with its leadership and motivation largely in the hands of Abu Bakar Baasyir, who is viewed as its spiritual mentor, and other Indonesians.
However, there is no evidence so far of any direct organisational linkage with Al Qaeda or of any command and control exercised by Al Qaeda or bin Laden over its plans and their execution. It has linkages with the LET of Pakistan, which is a member of the IIF and co-ordinates its activities due to the incapacity of bin Laden, but the name of JI itself has not figured as one of the members of the IIF in any report on the activities of the IIF so far.
The intelligence and counter-terrorism agencies of Singapore, Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia and Thailand have scored many tactical successes since the beginning of 2002 in identifying the key dramatis personae of the JI and their modus operandi and in arresting some of them, including those involved in the Bali bombing. However, there is no evidence so far to indicate any weakening of the motivation of the organisation, its leadership and cadres, who are still at large. Nor is there any evidence to indicate any drying-up of fresh recruitment to the organisation. The continuing threat from the JI to the peace and security of the region is, therefore, rated as still high.
The countries of the region, and particularly Indonesia, should evolve a counter-terrorism policy suited to their national needs and circumstances and should avoid an uncritical adoption of the MacCounterterrorism methods of the Americans with the emphasis on the large-scale use of purely military methods, including the Air Force and heavy weapons. Any impression that their counter-terrorism policies are influenced, if not dictated, by American methods and interests would prove counter-productive and add to the feelings of alienation and swell the ranks of new recruits. (14-12-03)
(The writer is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, and, presently, Director, Institute for Topical Studies, Chennai, and Distinguished Fellow and Convenor, Advisory Committee, Observer Research Foundation (ORF), Chennai Chapter. E-Mail: [email protected]
(The writer was in Jakarta from December 5 to 9,2003, to attend the General Conference of the Council On Security Co-operation in Asia Pacific (CSCAP) )
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