-
CENTRES
Progammes & Centres
Location
Integrated Transport Policy A vision which doesn’t work today – how to make it a reality
Em. O. Univ. Prof. DI Dr. Hermann Knoflacher,
Institute of
Vienna
The fascination of mechanical transport modes
The era of fossil powered transport systems was dominated by sectoral transport policy separating railways, public transport and road traffic from each other. In many countries ministries were responsible for railways other for roads, but so far no ministry can be found being responsible for pedestrians or cyclists. The society was and is so fascinated by the opportunities of technical modes - first the railway, then the car and the airplane that transport policy has lost footing. Institutes and institutions were established taking care separately on each of these two technical modes, regardless what was happening in the other parts of the transport sector. Railways dominated the 19th century and the first half of the 20th century, cars became the dominant mode in the second half of the 20th century. The share of public transport in
Transport policy in the 2nd half of the 20 century
European transport policy followed for decades the transport policy of the winner of the World War Second, the
Difference between vision and policy
Each policy has a certain vision or we can say goal, which is in general not more as a slogan, as long as there are no clear indicators to evaluate what policy is doing. Policies are real measures interferring into the system to reach a certain goal. Multimodal transport policy has therefore no meaning as long as there are no goals casted into figures, fixed in time and budget. To make a vision to reality, which is different from the existing one, measures have to be implemented effectively to change the behavior of the system in such a way that it moves toward the goals of the vision.
The existing transport policy of the last 200 years has proved that it can produce successfully transport problems, environment degradation, social separation, urban sprawl and increasing financial deficits. Since the modern transport system is manmade, creating all these unwanted, unexpected adverse effects people dealing with the system have not understood the reality of the transport system behavior. No wonder that this happened. There are several obvious causes: There is no scientific background of transport practice so far. What is called “Transport Science” are guilds, separated into Technicians, economists, lawyers and politicians, each of them based on assumptions, short time experience without a common understanding of the transport system behaviour.
Existing integrated transport policy – not more than a slogan
There are nice goals for an integrated transport policy combining “political integration”, “technical integration” and “social integration”, whatever this mean. This should lead toward a sustainable future-oriented development in the transport sector. But the real effects of this kind of transport policy are not encouraging at all. The outcome of the real activities on the state level are not more than slogans and symptom-oriented measures, when states try to combine railway with road administration and add a little bit cyclists and pedestrians into this soup. In the Western context integrated transport policy means the integration of mechanical transport modes without understanding the real transport system behavior. But the basic approach does not change. If Transport disciplines would be scientific, we can say “integrated transport policy is built on a wrong paradigm”. And a paradigm is bases on core hypotheses. These hypotheses are probably wrong. The existing integrated transport policy is therefore following misleading indicators.
Basic pillars of existing transport policy – and the reality of the transport system behavior
In the last 200 years technical transport modes were developed without understanding their effects on the real world. Within few decades many people had more or less direct access to a transport system providing them with a speed they have never experienced in the whole history of mankind. At the same time technical transport modes were able to transport goods over long distances in short time as it happened never before also. The recognizable immediate effects were so convincing and encouraging that nobody thought about the flipside of this wonderful bright coin. None of the existing disciplines on the University have therefore understood the real system behavior. They formed pillars based on assumptions on personal experiences in the transport system and misused of terms they have never understood. Mobility in the existing transport system is everything which moves with technical means and is not related to purposes. It is a purposeless mobility. Transport means movements of vehicles on or in special transport channels not taking into account the origin and the destination. The system view was a cross section view of road or rail in the traffic engineering field. Three assumptions are the base of existing transport policy:
1) Growth of mobility
2) Time saving by increasing speed and
3) Freedom of modal choice
In contradiction to these assumptions the transport system behavior is totally different.
1) There is no growth of mobility if we define mobility in a purposeful way. If the number of people in a society doesn’t change, the number of trips per people per day remains the same. This has been proved over many decades. There is only a shift of the kind of mode, but there is no change in the number of trips. A purposeful definition of mobility has always to be related to purposes. In a qualified scientific world there are no doubts any more about these facts.
2) In the transport system we cannot save time by increasing transport speed. Each trip is connected with the origin and destination. If the speed is increasing the location of origin and/or the location of destination is changing. This means speed changes the physical structures without changing the travel time. Travel time constancy has been proved in all observations since decades, but has not been accepted by economists, which are still calculating benefits from a figure which doesn't exist and it has not been accepted by engineers who believe what they individually experience or what they think they experience, because they have not understood the difference between the man and the combination of machine and man which is also the case for most of the politicians and the society.
3) There is no freedom of choice for real people
It is obvious that there is no freedom of choice for people without money to choose expensive transport modes. But it is not so obvious that the structure is determining human behavior in such a way that they don’t have a total free choice if physical structures cause their behavior. To understand transport system behavior it is necessary to understand human behavior in general and especially in the artificial modified environment of today.
Existing multimodal transport policy is treating symptoms and not causes
Multimodal transport policy is dealing with symptoms, if it is dealing with transport flows. Transport flows are visible symptoms of causes in the background – often not easy to discover or recognize. If the causes are in the field of other disciplines, they are not visible from the narrow world view of specialists. Since the prevailing measures of multimodal transport policy are not successful as expected, attempts are made to make more of them. But a mistake can not be solved by making it bigger. Obviously the existing structures don´t produce the expected and wanted behavior of the system and its users.
This shows that integrated transport policy has to treat structures and not symptoms of the transport system, if it should be successful. And this is the basic lack of the existing integrated transport policy worldwide. Its core elements are transport modes. But transport modes are not the cause, transport modes are the mean for certain purposes.
The core of any multimodal transport policy
To find the key element for multimodal transport policy we have to go to the causes. And the cause is the man and his behavior. We have to understand human behavior not only on the psychological level, but in his whole evolutionary context. We have to go through the disciplines, to find the real cause and not only effects of it. Evolutionary epistemology is a necessary tool on this way. We have changed the physical environment with our transport policy fundamentally but without thinking how people will adapt to it. And people have adjusted perfectly from their individual point of view – but with all the adverse system effects nobody wanted to have them. To understand this behavior-change it was necessary to find the causal level, deep rooted in our evolutionary history. Human behavior is driven by body energy consumption, physical and mental (Knoflacher, 1975). Body energy consumption per time was a successful selection element for the whole history of the evolution. Using vehicles instead of walking reduces body energy consumption substantially and makes distant destinations easy accessible – the individual benefit. The energy consumption of the technical mode in the system is not recognized by our senses. What is not recognized are the other structural changes in the system: nearness is lost everywhere, dependency on fossil energy is mounting, noise and air pollution increases, local job opportunities are lost, international corporations dominate municipalities and even states, societies are separated etc.
If we want to change human behavior we have to change the structures. to be continued…
NEWS BRIEF
NATIONAL
OIL & GAS
Upstream
Reliance Industries' KG-D6 gas output dips below 45 mmscmd
September 20, 2011. Reliance Industries' eastern offshore KG-D6 oil and gas fields have seen output further dipping to 44.5 million standard cubic metres per day. Reliance produced 44.5 mmscmd of natural gas September 5 as against 44.8 mmscmd production. The output comprised 37.1 mmscmd from Dhirubhai-1 and 3 (D1 and D3) gas fields and 7.4 mmscmd from MA oil field in the KG-DWN-98/3 or KG-D6 block. D1 and D3 gas fields produced 37.7 mmscmd of gas in August, while output from MA field was 7.1 mmscmd. Out of the 22 wells to be drilled in the Phase-I of Dhirubhai-1 and 3 field development plan, 18 wells have been drilled and completed so far. Of these, 16 wells were put on production as two wells (B2 and B13) were kept closed due to high water cut. MA oilfield produced an average of 14,080 barrels of crude oil per day besides the 7.4 mmscmd of associated gas. Of the total 44.5 mmscmd, about 13.8 mmscmd of gas was sold to fertiliser plants and another 24.1 mmscmd to power plants. The remaining 6.6 mmscmd was consumed by other sectors like sponge iron plants, LPG, city gas distribution networks and petrochemical/refineries.
Minister of State for Petroleum and Natural Gas had informed Parliament that output from KG-D6 was short of 70.39 mmscmd envisaged by now as per the field development plan approved in 2006. Reliance has so far drilled only 20 out of the committed 22 wells on D1 and D3 as reservoir has not performed on expected lines. Of the 20 wells drilled, only 18 wells are under production.
Further in the FDP approved in 2006, Reliance had committed to drill 31 wells by the current fiscal-end. Reliance currently holds 90 per cent interest in KG-D6, while the rest is with Niko Resources of Canada. It is selling 30 per cent in the block and 22 others to
BPCL exploration arm to drill 16 wells
September 18, 2011. Bharat PetroResources (BPRL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the state-run oil marketer Bharat Petroleum (BPCL), expects to drill 16 wells by the end of this fiscal and is hopeful of further discoveries in its blocks in the country as well as overseas. The company has 27 blocks, out of which nine which were acquired by the company under different rounds of new exploration licensing policy (Nelp) are located in the country and 18 are abroad, spanning six countries. With 27 exploration blocks spread over seven countries, the strategy going forward will be to consolidate their position in these blocks and basins. Efforts will also be made to upgrade the portfolio with a view to mature the prospects to the drilling stage. Also, in an effort to rationalise investments, prioritising of the blocks from the point of view of exploration efforts will be initiated. In FY11, the company made discoveries in
Oil Min to decide on RIL $1.52 bn plan for KG-D6 satellite fields
September 15, 2011. The oil ministry will shortly consider Reliance Industries' $1.52-billion plan to develop satellite fields in its KG-D6 block, which may deliver about 10 million metric standard cubic metres a day of natural gas in five years. The plan, if approved, will help Reliance reverse the decline in output from the deep-sea block and help consumers, particularly in the fertiliser and power sectors which are suffering as output from the D-6 block has fallen below 50 mmscmd instead of rising to 80 mmscmd because of technical problems. After detailed examination of Reliance's optimum field development plan for four satellite fields in KG-D6, the Directorate General of Hydrocarbon (DGH) has sought approval of the oil ministry to convene a meeting of the block's management committee that will approve the budget. Each oil or gas block is managed by its management committee, which is represented by the energy firm and representatives from DGH and the government. Stung by recent CAG report pointing at slackness in its overseer role, DGH is being extremely cautious. Peak production from the four satellite discoveries is expected to be in the range of 8-9 million standard cubic meters per day and production from the new pool is expected in next two years. The present optimum field development plan is a modified version of RIL's July 2008 proposal for integrated development of nine satellite discoveries in the block to produce 2.2 tcf gas with an investment of $5.91 billion. After DGH found the proposal "non-viable" in March 2009, Reliance submitted the new proposal in December 2009 to develop four out of the nine satellite discoveries.
Reliance to shut 2 units at refinery for maintenance
September 20, 2011. Reliance Industries will shut a light cycle oil (LCO) hydrocracker and a vacuum gas oil (VGO) hydrotreater at its 580,000 barrels per day (bpd) export focussed refinery for about four weeks for maintenance. Reliance operates two refineries with a combined capacity to process 1.24 million bpd oil at
BPCL sells Q3 naphtha to Matrix, Marubeni
September 19, 2011. Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd (BPCL) has sold a total of 210,000 tonnes of naphtha for third-quarter lifting from Mumbai to Matrix and Marubeni at premiums of around $19.50-$20.50 a tonne to
IOC buys Nigerian crude oil from Shell
September 16, 2011.
Reliance increases fuel exports in August
September 15, 2011. Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL) increased exports from its plants on
Oil
September 15, 2011. Oil
BPCL buys 3 million barrels of West African crude
September 14, 2011.
Transportation / Trade
Gail charges fair amount for gas marketing activities
September 20, 2011. Gail India said that levying a marketing charge for supplying gas to customers is a legitimate expense that has been approved by the government even though customers are queuing up for scarce natural gas. The assertion from the state-run firm came at a time when the chief vigilance commissioner and the fertiliser ministry have questioned the oil ministry about the $0.135 per unit marketing margin charged by Reliance Industries for supplying its KG-D6 gas. Gail charges $0.17 per unit marketing margin from its customers for supplying imported gas and domestic gas supplied from the Panna-Mukta and Tapti fields. The government had also allowed the firm to levy $0.11 per unit marketing charge on administered price mechanism (APM) gas.
APM gas is produced from nominated fields operated by state-run explorers such as ONGC and Oil
Gail had been asking the government to allow it to charge a marketing margin for APM gas, which constituted around 38% of its gas transportation volume. In May last year, while raising APM gas price at par with RIL's KG-D6 gas, the government had also allowed firms to charge marketing margin from customers for transporting gas produced by national oil companies. Gail had to seek the government's permission to levy marketing margin on APM gas as it is produced from nominated fields.
Reliance defends levy of marketing margin on KG-D6 gas
September 19, 2011. Reliance Industries has strongly defended its decision to impose a marketing margin over-and-above the government-approved sale price for KG-D6 gas, saying the levy was to cover for the risk and cost associated with marketing of gas. The $ 0.135 per million British thermal units marketing margin is a cost levied beyond the gas delivery flange and as such, is not regulated by the Production Sharing Contract (PSC). The PSC governs fixation of price of gas at the 'delivery point', the point at which an upstream operator transfers custody of gas to a marketing and transportation agency. That point for eastern offshore KG-D6 gas is
Policy / Performance
Finance ministry wants ONGC, others to give ` 567 bn fuel subsidy
September 19, 2011. The finance ministry wants Oil and Natural Gas Corp's (ONGC) fuel subsidy outgo to increase almost double to ` 47,640 crore this fiscal so that diesel, domestic LPG and kerosene can be sold at below market prices to consumers. The finance ministry wants upstream oil and gas producers like ONGC to meet one-third of the ` 1,70,140 crore revenue loss that was projected prior to the June fuel price hike and duty cuts instead of about ` 1,14,084 crore actual loss the retailers may suffer on selling fuel below cost this fiscal. Upstream oil firms bear one-third of the revenue that retailers lose on selling diesel, domestic LPG and Kerosene at government-controlled rates. A similar amount is contributed by the government by way of cash subsidy while the rest is either absorbed by the retailers or passed on to consumers. The finance ministry wants upstream share to be fixed at ` 56,707 crore or one-third of the revenue loss estimated before the June price hike and cut in customs and excise duty. ONGC's share would be ` 47,640 crore and the rest would be split between Oil
Crude costs same in all nations: Government
September 19, 2011. The oil ministry said the price of crude was "mercilessly uniform across the nations, regardless of the purchasing power of their people". Refuting the purchasing power parity (PPP) methodology for comparing crude, petrol and diesel prices in
Govt panel for slashing customs duty on imported LNG to zero
September 18, 2011. A high-level government panel has called for slashing customs duty on imported liquefied natural gas (LNG) to zero, instead of cross-subsidising the high-priced imported fuel by making domestic natural gas users pay more. The import duty on liquefied natural gas (LNG) should be aligned with that of crude oil, on which customs duty was brought down to zero from 5 per cent in June. Also, the government should treat LNG/natural gas as a "declared good", so that they have a common concessional rate of VAT. The panel, which in its draft report a few months back had suggested averaging out the price of costlier imported LNG with cheaper domestic gas, did a complete u-turn in its final report by saying the proposal was not feasible. The averaging out of prices, called "pooling", would have resulted in users of cheaper domestic natural gas paying double the existing rates so that imported LNG could be sold at an equal rate.
Fuel price hikes hurt rich less than poor
September 18, 2011. The latest hike in petrol prices, the second major rise in four months, has not only created a significant skew in automobile demand but also pinched the less affluent and middle-class consumer who cannot afford to fork out more for a diesel vehicle. Although the government's logic in increasing petrol prices at the cost of diesel is that the former is a rich man's fuel, increasingly, it is the more expensive compact cars, not to mention sedans and SUVs, that are offering diesel variants in order to benefit from the more than ` 20 differential between the two fuels. Ironically, the lowest rung in the auto ladder - twowheelers and entry-level small cars - are the ones that now run only on petrol. So, the petrol hike has ended up hitting the middle and lower middle class consumer, say industry experts.
For petrol, Indians shell out the most in the world
September 18, 2011. For all those already reeling under a series of hikes in petrol prices on the back of zooming inflation, here is some news that will enrage you further. Data of retail prices in countries across the world shows that Indian prices are amongst the highest in the world at current exchange rates. And, if you even out the differences in purchasing power of different currencies then Indian petrol and diesel prices become the highest barring some tiny, remote countries. Even a simple comparison of retail prices in different countries by converting them to Indian rupee reveals that petrol in
Indian Oil Corporation to reduce prices if global crude rates dip
September 17, 2011. State-run Indian Oil Corp will use the first available opportunity to cut petrol rates if international crude rates dip, after widespread criticism of the ` 3 increase in petrol prices. Petrol prices were raised on rising international prices and depreciating rupee. International crude prices have risen in recent weeks because of the volatile situation in
Petrol price hike to further fuel inflation: RBI
September 16, 2011. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said the ` 3.14 per litre hike in petrol price, announced, will further fuel inflation, which is nearing 10 per cent. Overall inflation in August rose to 9.78 per cent, which is much higher than the RBI's comfort level of 5-6 per cent. The central bank further said the current level of high inflation makes it imperative to continue with the anti-inflationary stance and tight monetary policy. The future monetary policy stance, would depend on the level of inflation. According to the RBI, its tight monetary policy regime has helped in containing inflation and anchoring inflationary expectations. It has raised interest rates 12 times in the past 18 months to check price rise. Though global oil prices have moderated, the pass-through to domestic prices remain incomplete, RBI said. Global oil prices are currently hovering around $110 per barrel.
Oil Cos. hike aviation turbine fuel price by 2.5 pc
September 15, 2011. After two consecutive price cuts, state-owned oil companies hiked jet fuel, or ATF, price by 2.5 per cent in line with firming of international oil rates. Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF) price at
Today's hike has almost wiped away the reductions. ATF in Mumbai, home to the nation's busiest airport, will cost ` 1,475 per kl more at ` 58,452 per kl from as against the old price of ` 56,978 per kl. Jet fuel makes up for 40 per cent of an airlines' operating cost. ATF prices vary from airport to airport, depending on the local sales tax or VAT. The three fuel retailers revise jet fuel prices on the 1st and 16th of every month, based on the average international price in the preceding fortnight.
No cost recovery of underutilised facilities for RIL: Solicitor General of
September 14, 2011. The Solicitor General of India has held that Reliance Industries should not be allowed to recover the cost of facilities that remain underutilised due to lower than anticipated output at its KG-D6 gas field. RIL has built facilities to handle up to 80 million cubic metres per day of gas but current production is less than 45 mmcmd, a phenomenon that oil regulator DGH blames on drilling of lesser number of wells than what the company had committed in 2006 when it won approval for investing $ 8.8 billion.
The Directorate General of Hydrocarbons (DGH) had been pressurising RIL to drill the committed 22 wells by March 2011, so that Dhirubhai-1 and 3 fields can produce projected 61.88 mmcmd and MA field (also in the same block) another 8.1 mmcmd. But when RIL, which was not confident of the geology after pressure at current 18 wells fell and some showed water ingress, refused, DGH proposed to allow only proportionate recovery of cost. On DGH insistence, oil ministry sought a view from the second highest law officer of the country. The Production Sharing Contract (PSC), however, does not envisage such a move and if oil ministry is to order such a thing,
RIL is likely to challenge it and may initiate arbitration proceedings. No field development plan by any company anywhere in the world, including 40-50 put by state-owned Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC), have gone exactly as per the plans put on paper because of uncertainty involved in behaviour of what lies several thousand feet below the earth. ONGC had on about a dozen occasions changed field development plan for its prime Mumbai High oil and gas fields.
RIL is waiting for BP Plc, who has global expertise in deepsea exploration, to come on board before recommencing drilling at KG-D6. According to the 2006 plan, RIL was to drill a further 11 wells by March 2012 to raise output to 80 mmscmd and sustain it at those levels for 9 years. RIL has so far spent $5.693 billion and has already recovered $5.258 billion from sale of gas.
Oil secretary says not considering change in diesel prices
September 14, 2011.
POWER
Generation
NTPC to invest ` 410 bn in 4 projects in MP, Chhattisgarh
September 18, 2011. NTPC has earmarked an investment of ` 41,000 crore for setting up four thermal projects in the coal-rich states of Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh in the next five years. NTPC has signed preliminary agreements with the governments of Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh for the execution of four coal-based power projects with a combined capacity of over 8,300 MW. The company would set up three projects -- 1,980 MW project at Barethi, 1,320 MW at Khargone and 2,640 MW at Gadarwara -- in Madhya Pradesh and a 2,400 MW Lara project in Chhattisgarh. The company is also executing 1,980 (3x660) MW Sipat power project in Chhattisgarh, the first 660 MW unit of which has been commissioned and the other two units would be commissioned by March, 2012. NTPC generates over 34,000 MW electricity with 15 coal- based and 7 gas-based power stations, besides 6 joint venture or subsidiary power projects across the country. It has set an ambitious target of taking overall power generation to 75,000 MW by 2017. The company is working on projects of about 40,000 MW at present. Projects with capacity of over 14,000 MW are under various stages of implementation. NTPC added capacity of about 2,500 MW during 2010-11 by commissioning Dadri (490 MW), Korba (500 MW), Farakka (500 MW), Simhadri (500 MW) and Jhajjar (500 MW) units.
Shanghai Electric to supply equipment for Haldia plant
September 14, 2011. China's leading equipment manufacturing company Shanghai Electric Group will supply boilers, turbines and generators (BTG) for power utility CESC's 600 MW thermal project at Haldia in
Transmission / Distribution / Trade
Areva T&D bags ` 2.2 bn contract to set up high voltage transmission substations
September 20, 2011. Areva T&D
BSES Rajdhani ties up with US-based Lighting Science Group
September 19, 2011. Reliance Infrastructure-led BSES Rajdhani Power Ltd plans collaboration with US-based Lighting Science Group to offer LED bulbs to customers at discounted rates. BSES Rajdhani Power Ltd that distributes power in south and west
CIL's import initiative hits a damp patch
September 19, 2011. Coal
Power bills can come down if big buyers are allowed to buy and negotiate price directly
September 15, 2011. Power bills for households can fall despite rising costs. If bulk buyers are allowed to purchase electricity directly from producers and negotiate rates with distribution companies the bills can come down. However, state utilities and regulators are obstructing the move. They said that regulatory bodies, often manned by retired bureaucrats, are not ready to surrender their power to fix tariffs for purchases from distribution companies, while state utilities want to hang on to the big consumers, which are charged higher tariffs than households, and are obstructing deals between power producers and big buyers. If big customers negotiate directly with power producers, distribution utilities will need to purchase lesser electricity from the market, reducing demand and consequently the price. Utilities often buy power at much higher rates than what they charge even industrial and commercial consumers. India Energy Exchange said average tariff for domestic consumers would come down substantially if large industrial consumers are allowed to purchase electricity on their own. About 40% of total power consumption of a state is by bulk consumers. However, distribution companies disagree and say that in large cities, demand is very steady from about 10 am to midnight as the growing use of air-conditioners and other appliances at homes ensures that demand doesn't fall sharply after office hours.
Coal ministry seeks GoM nod for Essar and Hindalco to mine in dense forests
September 20, 2011. The coal ministry will push for allowing mining in two densely forested coal areas. It has rejected environment ministry's decision to deny permission to Essar and Hindalco to mine the Mahan block and KSK Energy to mine the Morga II block in the Hasdeo Arand coal field in Chhattisgarh. Both these blocks are located in densely forested areas. The GoM will discuss the fate of all projects that have been allocated coal blocks in the Hasdeo Arand area. The environment ministry has opposed the opening up of this area as it is densely forested. The coal ministry has argued that investments to the tune of ` 35,000 crore have been made in the 19 blocks of the coal field in Chhattisgarh. The ministry is of the view that mining should be permitted to prevent financial losses. The environment ministry on its part has made it clear that it will not entertain mining proposals in the dense forests of Hasdeo Arand. The GoM will also take up Adani Power's 3,300 MW project in Tiroda, which had been allocated the captive coal blocks of Lohara West and Lohara Extension. Permission to mine these blocks was denied as the block was located in the vicinity of the Tadoba Tiger Reserve.
NTPC plans mammoth expansion; targets 128 GW by 2032
September 20, 2011. India's largest power generation company NTPC has set an ambitious target of becoming a 1,28,000 MW capacity firm by 2032. NTPC has a total installed capacity of 34,854 MW and will add 4,980 MW, including Sipat 660 MW unit, during 2011-12. It has 14,088 MW capacity under construction and projects worth 18,471 MW are in the bidding process. Besides, it has approved feasibility reports for 14,666 MW.
The company is also preparing feasibility reports for an additional basket of 16,272 MW capacity. NTPC said that based on the demand growth and project plans, the Corporate Plan target of 1,28,000 MW capacity by the end of the 15th Five Year Plan, the year 2032, appears well within reach. During 2010-11, NTPC signed Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) for an aggregate capacity of 49,000 MW for supply over the next decade. The company had appointed Mine-Developer- Cum-Operator (MDO) for its first coal mine at Pakri Barwadih with 15 MTPA (million tonnes per annum) capacity during 2010-11.
Besides, it has laid down the roadmap for appointment of MDOs for other coal mines to be developed by it. NTPC has plans of fresh capacity addition at the existing stations, besides the nuclear and renewable capacity planned. It is also working on overseas projects. NTPC has signed a Joint Venture Agreement with Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) of
NTPC is preparing the detailed project report for the 540 MW Amochu Hydro Electric Power Project in
NTPC contemplating exit from International Coal Ventures Ltd
September 20, 2011. With nothing concrete to show for its investment in International Coal Ventures Ltd, state-run NTPC is mulling an exit from the special purpose vehicle, which was formed for acquiring coal properties overseas. International Coal Ventures Ltd (ICVL) is a joint venture between SAIL, CIL, RINL, NMDC and NTPC that was conceptualised by the Steel Ministry for securing much-needed coking coal and thermal coal assets in overseas territories. The Power Ministry will take a call on the matter in a week's time and Cabinet approval for NTPC's exit will be sought. The key objective with which ICVL was set up was to secure at least 10 per cent of the coal requirements of SAIL and RINL, that is five million tonnes per annum, by acquiring or picking up a stake in overseas mining properties.
ICVL was also expected to meet the requirement of joint venture partners CIL, NTPC and NMDC by using their combined resources, domain knowledge and human capital for procuring high quality thermal coal. In this regard, it was hoped that ICVL would become an owner of about 500 million tonnes of coking coal reserves by 2019-20. However, the JV has made no breakthrough since its formation. NTPC requires thermal coal for firing its power plants and SAIL needs coking coal for steel-making. The availability of coking coal is more compared to thermal coal and therefore, more beneficial to steel companies. At the same time, NTPC is also sourcing coal on its own.
India seeks
September 20, 2011. Indian Power Minister Sushil Kumar Shinde urged US entrepreneurs to invest in
PFC awaits govt approval for ` 50 bn tax-free bonds issue
September 18, 2011. Power Finance Corporation (PFC) is awaiting government approval to raise ` 5,000 crore through an issue of tax-free bonds to meet funding requirements of the power sector. A leading lender for the power sector, PFC, expects to raise as much as ` 30,000 crore this financial year (2011-12). PFC has raised around ` 13,000 crore rupee loans so far this fiscal. However, the Finance Ministry is believed to have reservations about allowing PFC and Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) to raise money through tax-free bonds. The Parliamentary Standing Committee on Energy had recommended that the Finance Ministry should allow REC and PFC to issue tax-free bonds for raising funds. Going by the Finance Ministry estimates, there is a revenue loss of about ` 24 crore annually for every ` 1,000 crore of tax-free bonds issue. Meanwhile, PFC is also looking at raising about ` 6,900 crore through issue of long-term infrastructure bonds in the current fiscal. The company has just completed a domestic issue of long term bonds worth Rs 2,000 crore. The issue, which was open from September 14-16, saw good response from investors.
BGR Energy Systems-Hitachi power equipment plants to go on stream in 2013
September 16, 2011. Chennai-based BGR Energy Systems will become an integrated power equipment manufacturer by 2013 as its two joint venture plants will start functioning. The first plant will make steam turbines and generators and the other super-critical boilers. To become an integrated power equipment maker, BGR Energy Systems inducted two firms of the Japanese Hitachi group as joint venture partners in the two subsidiaries. BGR Energy gave a 26 percent stake in BGR Turbines Company to
The ` 4,747 crore Indian company divested a 30 percent stakes in BGR Boilers to
INTERNATIONAL
OIL & GAS
Upstream
EPA issues key permits to Shell for
September 20, 2011. Royal Dutch Shell has won two critical permits it needs to drill in Arctic waters off
The new permits include tightened standards for particulates and nitrogen oxides. Still, they allows Shell to emit more than 250 tons of pollutants a year. Shell plans to be operating in the Chukchi and Beaufort for up to 120 days a year, during the open-water seasons. Environmental and native groups are likely to challenge the new permits to the EPA's Environmental Appeals Board, the panel that struck down the earlier permits. Since 2005, Shell has spent over $3.5 billion in its
Canada names panel to study Shell oil sands plan
September 20, 2011. The Canadian and
It will examine the environmental effects of the project, consider ways to lessen any adverse ones and take into account comments from the public and aboriginal people it receives during its assessment. The Jackpine mine, part of the Shell-led Athabasca Oil Sands Project, is located 70 km (44 miles) north of Fort McMurray, Alberta, on the east side of the Athabasca River. The company has also proposed a new mine nearby, called
OGX wins license for Waimea development
September 16, 2011. Brazilian environmental regulator IBAMA earlier this month issued license for OGX Petroleo e Gas on the test (EWT) and the development of production in the field of Waimea, Block BM-C-41, in the Campos Basin, coast of Rio de Janeiro. According to the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), the recoverable volume estimated for the discovery Waimea is approximately 14 million cubic meters of oil. Peak production will be about 40 000 barrels of oil per day and is expected to occur in 2012. The OSX-1, which will be used in the prospectus of Waimea has the capacity to process around 40 000 barrels / day and store 950,000 barrels. The company now seeks to fulfill the conditions stipulated in the previous license to justify a site license, which authorizes the commencement of field activities.
Downstream
Iran offers to build oil refinery near
September 20, 2011. Iran has offered to build a crude oil refinery near
Shell Anacortes refinery to shut crude unit-filing
September 18, 2011. Royal Dutch Shell Plc's 145,000 barrel per day (bpd)
Margins, maintenance hit
September 16, 2011. European refiners are cutting runs or conducting maintenance work to cope with deteriorating margins as high crude oil prices coupled with fears about economic growth have slashed profits in recent weeks. Independent Petroplus,
Transportation / Trade
Chevron,
September 16, 2011. Chevron Corporation announced that its Australian subsidiaries have signed a
Indonesia's PT PLN urges BP Migas to complete gas swap agreement
September 15, 2011.
Netherlands gas trade beats peers as LNG arrives
September 15, 2011. The
Libya plans to resume partial oil exports within four days
September 15, 2011. Libya, holder of
Policy / Performance
Sasol teams up with Uzbekneftegaz, Petronas for GTL project
September 20, 2011. South African energy and chemicals group, Sasol, together with partners Uzbekneftegaz and PETRONAS, signed an investment agreement with the Minister of Foreign Economic Relations, Investment and Trade for the Uzbekistan government, for the development and implementation of a Gas-to-liquids (GTL) project in Uzbekistan. Under the investment agreement, the investors and the GTL project will enjoy investment protection and fiscal benefits, to ensure the successful implementation and operation of the GTL facility. In the project Sasol and Uzbekneftegaz each hold 44.5% interest and PETRONAS an 11% interest. The GTL project will reduce
The next phase will be the front end engineering and design of the GTL project which will commence before the end of the year 2011 and depending on the final investment decision, the plant will be operational in the second half of this decade. For over 60 years Sasol has used its proprietary technology to produce more than 1.6 billion barrels of liquid fuels and chemicals from coal and natural gas. GTL transportation fuel is cleaner burning than conventional diesel with a comparable, and potentially lower, greenhouse gas profile. GTL fuels are virtually free of sulfur and aromatic compounds and reduce emissions of particulates, nitrogen oxides, carbon monoxide and other pollutants and will improve air quality. A 2005 PricewaterhouseCoopers study showed that GTL production offers substantial air quality benefits compared to an oil refinery due to its lower sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxide and hydrocarbon emissions. In April 2009, Sasol Synfuels International (Pty) Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of South African energy and chemicals group Sasol Limited, along with its partners the National Holding Company "Uzbekneftegaz" and PETRONAS signed a heads of agreement with regard to the possible development of a GTL plant in Uzbekistan. A joint-venture agreement was subsequently signed in July 2009 and the feasibility study commenced in December 2009 after all regulatory approvals were obtained for the formation of a joint venture company, Uzbekistan GTL LLC. The feasibility study has now been completed and based on results of this study it was determined that the establishment of a GTL plant in Uzbekistan, utilizing Sasol's proprietary SPD technology, with an estimated nominal capacity of 1,4 million tons per annum would be feasible. The GTL plant will produce high quality, environmentally friendly diesel, kerosene and naphtha.
New York fracking lawsuit could set drilling precedent
September 20, 2011. A lawsuit challenging a small town's ban on natural-gas drilling could have implications throughout New York, where state officials are poised to approve a controversial drilling method known as fracking. Anschutz Exploration Corporation filed suit on Friday against Dryden, a rural suburb of
OPEC’s $1 trillion cash quiets poor on longest ever $100 oil
September 20, 2011. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries members are poised to earn an unprecedented $1 trillion this year, according to the U.S. Energy Department, as the group’s benchmark oil measure exceeded $100 a barrel for the longest period ever. They are promising to plow record amounts into public and social programs after pro-democracy movements overthrew rulers in
OPEC’s basket of crudes, a weighted average of the group’s main export grades, has been trading at above $100 since Feb. 21. The basket price was $108.68 a barrel yesterday, while WTI on the New York Mercantile Exchange closed at $85.70. Of OPEC’s 12 members, nine increased 2011 budgets and of the remaining three, only
LNG surges as Japan vies with China, Exxon’s shipments grow
September 19, 2011. Liquefied natural gas prices are surging to a three-year high as demand from Japan, China and India outpaces supply increases, boosting sales for producers from BG Group Plc to Exxon Mobil Corp. Record Japanese imports to replace nuclear power after the Fukushima Dai-Ichi disaster, plus a 27 percent jump in China’s first-half purchases, may send prices to about $20 per million British thermal units this winter, up 71 percent from 2010 and the highest since 2008. The world’s spare production capacity shrank about 50 percent this year as consumption grew, and will continue to decline through 2014. Rising LNG prices are encouraging Exxon and BG, which got 27 percent of its operating profit from the fuel in the first half, to develop and transport more. That may spur North American exports by 2016 and help the world’s fastest-growing economies contain inflation from rising oil and coal costs. Global LNG demand grew 9 percent in the first half and 13 percent over the past 12 months. Spare production capacity is likely to shrink to 26 million metric tons a year in 2011 and to 2 million by 2014, stoking prices and benefiting BG, Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Total SA and PetroChina Co.
India’s LNG imports increased 26 percent in the first half. The country’s gas use may double to as much as 400 million cubic meters a day by 2016, while domestic supply may be about 200 million cubic meters. While their LNG needs increase, the economies of
Poland may start shale gas production in 2014: PM
September 18, 2011. Poland may begin commercial shale gas production as soon as 2014, helping to reduce its energy reliance on
Decreasing
POWER
South Africa plans to construct nuclear power plants
September 20, 2011. The South African energy minister Dipuo Peters has drafted a proposal to build six nuclear plants in a bid to meet the nation’s growing energy demand and to reduce its heavy carbon footprint. The proposal will be submitted to the cabinet for approval which is expected later this year. Bidding process for the multi-billion projects, slated to provide a total of 9,600MW of power, will begin in 2012. The projects are expected to start supplying electricity to the nation's grid by 2024 or 2025. According to the proposal, private companies would undertake the construction of the plants but the state-run utility Eskom will run and manage the plants on completion. Currently, coal-fired plants produce 90% of the country's power. The nation operates the continent's only nuclear power plant on the west coast near
Power generation rises to 4 GW
September 20, 2011. Federal Government said that the country now generates 4,242.7 MW of electricity which is the highest quantum of power ever generated in its history. This is just as the Federal Government has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with a consortium of Swiss and European investors for the investment of N240bn ($1.6bn) in the power, petroleum and housing sectors of the Nigerian economy. Ministry of Trade and Investment would work with Ministries of Power and Petroleum to facilitate the investments. About 3,982.7 MW which is now produced in the country go into the national grid, with 260 MW maintained as spinning reserve, which is used for system stability.
PTT seeks to invest in 3 GW coal-fired power plant
September 19, 2011. PTT seeks to co-invest in a 3,000 MW coal-fired power plant supplying Burma's Dawei deep-sea port and industrial estate, with Italian-Thai Development (ITD)., said PTT source. The value of investment is likely to be around US$4 billion. Negotiations on a Power Purchase Agreement for the coal-fired plant is been carried out by ITD and the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (Egat). PTT anticipates the project being divided into three phases. Ratchaburi Electricity Generating Holding and Electricity Generating Plc are some of the other power-plant operators interested to invest the project. PTT investment is likely to be in a related coal-mining project, as yearly the plant will require millions of tonnes of coal for producing electricity. The electricity genereated at the coal-fired power plant will be further sold to the Dawei's industrial estate and deep-sea port, and to Egat.
Guinea asks
September 18, 2011. Guinea has asked state-owned China Power Investment (CPI) to build a 340 MW coal-fired power plant in the electricity-starved west African state. The project is part of ongoing negotiations between
Transmission / Distribution / Trade
Transmission from Guddu power plant
September 20, 2011. China will provide relief to Pakistan by extending financial facility of Rs 4.842 billion for materializing the project of a paramount important to disperse the 747 MW of the electricity from Guddu Power Plant. The location of the project is in the District Kashmore of Sindh province which will be accomplished and commissioned with the cost of Rs 7.855 billion which include the local component of Rs 3.013 billion and foreign exchange comment of Rs 4.842 billion. The China Development Bank will provide the financing for the project. The main objective of the project is dispersal of power from 747 MW additional combined cycle power plant at Guddu by construction of 500 kv transmission lines from Guddu to Muzaffargarh along with extension at 500 kv Muzaffargarh substation. The proposed project will improve voltage profile, system profile, system reliability of network and reduction in the loading of power transformers. The proposed scheme will also result in overall power system efficiency and stability to deliver adequate and quality power to the consumers.
BPA transmission line will move wind power to load centers
September 19, 2011. Construction of a 500 kV transmission line is set to start which will move energy from east of the Cascade Mountains to homes and businesses in population centers west of the Cascades in the northwestern
Turkey would consider
September 19, 2011. Turkey's energy minister said Ankara would consider a proposal from the United States to build a nuclear power plant in the country's north.
Iran preparing to build more nuclear power plants
September 19, 2011. A senior Iranian lawmaker said Iran is preparing to build more nuclear power plants after it launched the operation of its first such plant in the Southern port city of Bushehr. Rapporteur of the parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Commission Kazzem Jalali said after Bushehr started operation with the help of Iranian experts, the way has now been paved for the construction of more nuclear power plants across the country. Jalali further stated that
Siemens stops building nuclear reactors as
September 19, 2011. Siemens AG (SIE) abandoned a planned return to the nuclear-power industry, following the German government in its retreat from atomic energy in the wake of the reactor catastrophe in
Nuclear bans build case for EU energy cooperation
September 19, 2011. Plans by
HSBC eyes 5 bids for DEWA’s $1.5 bn power plant
September 18, 2011. Dubai Electricity & Water Authority may get four to five bids from companies to build the emirate’s first power plant with private investment, said HSBC Holdings Plc, an adviser on the $1.5bn project. HSBC expects bids by the end of November. The monopoly state utility plans to build a 1,500-megawatt power station and water-desalination facility, to begin operations in 2015 at Hassyan on
South Africa delays bids for nuclear plants on safety concerns
September 15, 2011. South Africa postponed the opening of bids for its nuclear power-plant build program to next year because of safety concerns following the meltdown of reactors in
Renewable Energy / Climate Change Trends
National
Suzlon to export China-made wind turbines next year
September 15, 2011. Indian wind turbine maker Suzlon could begin exporting Chinese-assembled turbines to third countries as early as next year. With the company expecting a 40-percent increase in global revenue this fiscal year, Suzlon is also seeking a Chinese joint-venture partner to produce large turbines in
Luminous Power Technologies launched LED based solar lighting for rural
September 14, 2011. Luminous Power Technologies Limited, provider of power backup solutions for home, commercial, telecom towers & renewable energy systems has launched LED (light emitting diode) based Solar Lighting Solution, a low cost solution for rural home lighting requirements. The low cost solution is the first in the series of new offerings from the house of Luminous Power Technologies in the renewable energy genre. The energy efficient LED based design of this new product with a single light output is at par with 11 watts CFL. The equipment can provide light output ranging between 11 to 102 hrs. As per National Sample Survey Organisation statistics, about 39% of households in rural
Global
Lanka’s 1st Dendro power plant commissioning soon
September 20, 2011. Sri Lanka’s first dendro based power project will be commissioned soon at the hamlet of Kattimuruchchana in Thirappane Divisional Secretariat division in
The initial investment is Rs 380 million. This project will be upgraded to a capacity of 2.5 MW by April next year to provide 2,500 KW to the National grid. Around 1,000,000 Gliricidia saplings have been planted in Thirappane area with 3,000 farmer families participating in the cultivation process. The Kattamarichchan plant requires 110 tons of Gliricidia wood fuel per day. The annual wood fuel requirement is nearly 33,000 tons valued at Rs 110 million. The farmer families involved in the project will get an additional income of Rs 10,000 monthly per family through wood fuel sales. Organic fertilizer processing project and a plant based on Gliricidia leaf is being established with the assistance of the Agrarian Services Development Authorities.
PV solar installations up on utility-scale projects in US
September 20, 2011. Second-quarter U.S. installations of photovoltaic solar panels rose 17 percent from the previous quarter as increases in non-residential and utility-scale projects offset a weakened residential solar market. Installations were also up 69 percent from the same period the previous year at 314 megawatts, according to a report by the Solar Energy Industries Association and research firm GTM Research. Installations are poised to double this year, though SEIA said it revised its outlook for the residential and utility segments while raising its non-residential market forecast.
Solar module prices fell 12 percent in the
SEIA blamed the decline on the state's solar incentive program, the California Solar Initiative, being frozen in two major utility territories due to an oversubscription of incentives. Several
Siemens hops on renewables wave with power lines
September 20, 2011. German industrial group Siemens AG aims to benefit from the global push into renewable energy by installing power lines to get electricity from sun-drenched and wind-swept sites to customers. It also wants to deliver the natural gas-fired power stations that can fill the gap left when neither wind nor sun is powering the green facilities. The lightbulbs-to-locos conglomerate is in particular banking on
Obama $8 bn solar ‘Betamax’ undercut as
September 20, 2011. The
Renewables stir growth, create jobs: EU adviser
September 19, 2011. A major expansion of renewable energy could create millions of jobs worldwide, stir economic growth in heavily indebted countries and help fight climate change at the same time, an American adviser to the German leader Angela Merkel said. Jeremy Rifkin, a best-selling author and an adviser to the European Union on climate change and energy security, said
He said, investing more in renewable energy and the accompanying internet technology to link homes and buildings with green energy networks could help economies weighed down by the euro zone debt crisis to start growing again. He said
Global climate deal should wait another 4 years
September 19, 2011. A binding global pact to limit global emissions should not be finalized until 2015, according to a U.N. submission by
The two countries reckon it will take four years to agree a legally-binding deal that includes emission targets for developed and developing countries. Such a pact would expand the current
A stepwise approach from
At the year-end U.N. climate summit in
The statement is another indication of a major shift in ambition since 2009, when countries spoke of the urgent need to strike a legally-binding pact at that year's climate conference in
China raises bar for fuel-saving car subsidies
September 16, 2011. China has made qualifications more stringent for fuel-saving vehicle subsidies, part of efforts to cut emissions in the world's biggest auto market. Cars will be eligible for the 3,000-yuan ($470) subsidies only if they consume 6.3 liters of gas or less per 100 kilometers, compared with the previous level of 6.9 liters, the Ministry of Finance said.
Fuel consumption standards for other cars have all been raised according to their technical specifications, it said.
GE to double capacity at
September 16, 2011. General Electric Co. (GE), the world’s biggest maker of electricity-generating equipment, will add 1 megawatt of power capacity to
GE will erect panels next to MPX Energia SA (MPXE3)’s facility in the northeastern city of
BP-backed energy group starts carbon-capture simulation project
September 15, 2011. The Energy Technologies Institute, backed by Royal Dutch Shell Plc and BP Plc, started a 3 million- pound ($4.7 million) project that uses software to show power companies how to develop carbon-capture sites economically.
The program will simulate the operation of carbon capture and storage, or CCS, a technology that gathers carbon dioxide released in power generation for underground storage, the Loughborough, England-based institute said.
Britain, due to shut more than 11,000 megawatts of coal and oil-fed power capacity by the end of 2015, is examining ways to meet energy demand while reducing emissions, including an initiative to fund the first CCS demonstration project.
Building a CCS plant adds about 500 million euros ($690 million) to the 1 billion-euro cost of a coal-fired power station. EDF Energy Plc, Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc and Petrofac Ltd. are involved in the institute’s software project, which will simulate all aspects of the “complex” CCS chain, helping power-plant developers and operators, as well as policy makers, understand the technology.
It will take more than two years to develop the CCS modeling program. Process System Enterprise Ltd., a modeling technology company, and energy consultants E4tech Ltd. are also participating.
The institute, a partnership between BP, Shell, Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), EDF Energy, EON AG, Rolls-Royce and the
Greece pushes $1.4 bn in solar projects to aid economy
September 14, 2011.
They include the 200-megawatt Kozani plant, to be developed by Public Power Corp. SA, the country’s biggest electricity producer. Solar Cells Hellas Group is planning a 131-megawatt plant and Silcio SA has one that would generate 127 megawatts under the program.
Greece’s relatively strong solar radiation and high price paid by utilities and consumers for power from the sun might turn the nation into Germany’s rival as Europe’s biggest solar market. Developers applied for licenses to generate 9.5 gigawatts of power in
Germany by comparison added 7.4 gigawatts of solar capacity last year, making it the world’s biggest market for the cells.
More than 200 megawatts were installed through August.
Dear Reader, You may have received complimentary copies of the ORF Energy News Monitor. Our objective in bringing out the newsletter is to provide a platform for focused debate on We look forward to receiving your patronage and support. ORF Centre for Resources Management |
NEWS MONITOR Sponsorship Form Please fill in BLOCK LETTERS |
· Commercial Sponsorship: Rs 15, 000 per annum 1 hard copy (52 issues) + soft copies by email as per list provided by sponsor · Non Commercial/ Academic Sponsorship: Rs 2, 500 per annum 1 hard copy (52 issues) + soft copies by email as per list provided by sponsor · Individual Sponsorship: Rs 1, 000 per annum Soft copy only |
Yes! I/we would like to receive copies of the weekly ORF Energy News Monitor for a period of ______year(s). I/we shall be entitled to one hard copy along with the option of soft copies to a list of e-mail addresses provided by me/us for the period specified. Name……………………………Address…………….………………………Telephone……………………Fax………………….E-mail………………… Please find enclosed cheque/Bank Draft No.........................dated …………………drawn at Please fill in this form and mail it with your remittance to Mr. Vinod Kumar Tomar ORF Centre for Resources Management OBSERVER RESEARCH FOUNDATION 20 Rouse Avenue, New Delhi - 110 002 Phone +91.11.4352 0020 extn 2120 Mobile: 9871417327 Fax: +91.11.4352 0003 E-mail: [email protected], [email protected] |
Registered with the Registrar of News Paper for
Published on behalf of Observer Research Foundation,
Disclaimer: Information in this newsletter is for educational purposes only and has been compiled, adapted and edited from reliable sources. ORF does not accept any liability for errors therein. News material belongs to respective owners and is provided here for wider dissemination only. Sources will be provided on request.
Publisher: Baljit Kapoor Editor:
Production team: Akhilesh Sati, Vinod Kumar Tomar
The views expressed above belong to the author(s). ORF research and analyses now available on Telegram! Click here to access our curated content — blogs, longforms and interviews.