This piece is part of the essay series, Amrit Kaal 1.0: Budget 2023
Green growth features prominently among the key priorities listed in the 2023 Union Budget. Achieving this objective will require not only powering future growth through clean energy technologies but also addressing the now inevitable impacts of climate change on India’s developmental agenda.
Within this theme, Finance Minister (FM) Nirmala Sitharaman announced a slew of measures for accelerating the energy transition. A capital outlay of INR 35,000 crores was announced for the energy transitions under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas. However, the budget documents do not make immediately evident how this outlay is to be utilised. The breakup of the Ministry’s budget does not list any new or specific allocations clearly related to clean energy. It does, however, contain a new line item related to capital support for Oil Marketing Companies with an outlay of INR 30,000 crore but the purpose of this expenditure remains unclear and will need to be watched closely.
The INR 20,700 crore allocation to evacuate and integrate 13 GW of renewable energy (RE) from Ladakh is also an important step to utilise the untapped RE potential of the state and could provide a boost to the economic development in the region.
Green hydrogen is expected to be a critical future fuel for decarbonising harder-to-abate industrial and transport segments and the mission is a strong statement of India’s intent to be a leader in this space.
Perhaps, the biggest push on green energy is the promised outlay of INR 19,700 crores for the recently launched Green Hydrogen Mission. Green hydrogen is expected to be a critical future fuel for decarbonising harder-to-abate industrial and transport segments and the mission is a strong statement of India’s intent to be a leader in this space. Although the allocation to the mission in this fiscal year is only INR 297 crores, we can expect greater outlays going forward, ideally with a specific focus on creating demand from specific industries and R&D and capital support to indigenise the supply chain for producing hydrogen.
Battery storage, a critical missing piece in the transition to greater utilisation of renewable energy, is also given a boost with the announcement of viability gap funding for storage projects with capacity of 4,000 MWH.
Electric vehicles, rail-based transport, green urbanisation, and circular economy also appear to be some of the other key focus areas for the government. The removal of custom duties on components needed for manufacturing lithium-ion batteries could help reduce the cost of electric vehicles, setting the stage for greater adoption. The GOBARdhan scheme with the aim to setup 200 biogas plants is an important step to encourage a circular economy, but more needs to be done to push for circularity for recycling plastics and critical minerals from batteries and solar panels.
Beyond hydrogen, batteries, and renewable energy
These measures are all expected to provide a substantial push to India’s energy transition efforts. However, the budget must also be looked at from the perspective of climate adaptation. India is expected to be among the countries worst affected by climate change. In 2022, the country recorded extreme weather events such as heatwaves, floods, and cyclones on 88 percent of the days in the year. These extreme events lead to loss of lives and livelihoods and threaten to wipe out many of the developmental gains made in the last three decades. Thus, it is imperative that India focuses on measures that build resilience amongst vulnerable communities to withstand these changes. This will require investment in physical capital to deal with the immediate consequence of climate-related extreme events and human and social capital to provide alternate climate-resilient livelihoods.
The removal of custom duties on components needed for manufacturing lithium-ion batteries could help reduce the cost of electric vehicles, setting the stage for greater adoption.
Unlike much of the investment needed in the energy sector, investment in building climate resilience is not always associated with financial returns and depend largely on government resources and concessional capital. In this regard, this year’s budget leaves something to be desired. The National Adaptation Fund set up in 2016 has seen a constant decline in funding. This year, the Fund seems to have been ignored completely with no new allocation, in contrast to INR 350 crore in FY16 and INR 60 crore assigned last year. The fund is administered by NABARD and is utilised for implementing high priority resilience building projects related to water management, forestry, climate-resilient agriculture, among others. While many adaptation actions must be localised and implemented by states, budgetary support from the Centre is crucial to provide cash-strapped states resources to implement these projects and the lack of focus on this Fund does not bode well for the future.
Aside from specific funding, many resilience-building measures are also funded from the budget for other development programmes implemented by different ministries. Here, again, there are many concerning signs in the budget. The massive 18 percent decline for the MNREGA scheme will have substantial impact on adaptation efforts in addition to the loss of rural livelihoods. Much of the works carried out under the programme have a direct impact on reducing vulnerability to climate hazards including drought proofing , water conservation, and land development. The programme has played a key role in building climate smart villages but the current budget allocation seems to ignore these co-benefits. The lack of increases in the budget for many other programmes will also have impact on adaptation efforts including the Crop Insurance Scheme, Krishi Unnati Scheme, Green India Mission, among others.
The massive 18 percent decline for the MNREGA scheme will have substantial impact on adaptation efforts in addition to the loss of rural livelihoods.
However, there are also many positives. The 63 percent increase in the PM-Awas Yojana could have a positive effect if the implementation focuses specifically on location relevant climate resilient housing in rural areas. The Mangrove Initiative for Shoreline Habitats & Tangible Income (MISHTI) could also help improve the resilience of certain areas prone to cyclones and storm surges given that mangroves act as a natural barrier against these extreme events.
The net effect of these mosaics of intervention on building climate resilience across the country is difficult to ascertain. Going forward, there is a clear imperative to implement a system for climate budgeting that can allow for a clearer understanding of the net allocations which are relevant to climate adaptation efforts. Such a system will be crucial for directing resources for most relevant adaptation actions.
Overall, the Union Government has once again shown its clear commitment to the energy transition. Going forward, more needs to be done to mainstream climate adaptation efforts into the budgeting process.
The views expressed above belong to the author(s). ORF research and analyses now available on Telegram! Click here to access our curated content — blogs, longforms and interviews.