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South Asia Weekly Report | Volume XII; Issue 40
Oct 10, 2019

South Asia Weekly Report | Volume XII; Issue 40

Assembly elections and the challenges before the Indian National Congress, developments in Maldives — and other news from South Asia.

South Asia Weekly | XIII; 52
Jan 02, 2021

South Asia Weekly | XIII; 52

News and analyses from South Asia this week.

South Asia’s cyclical geopolitical trends likely to continue in 2019
Jan 14, 2019

South Asia’s cyclical geopolitical trends likely to continue in 2019

The story of 2019, whatever the outcome of parliamentary elections, will essentially be about India adjusting its engagements in its neighbourhood.

Spokespersons at the Inquisitions, Cap in Hand
Dec 24, 2010

Spokespersons at the Inquisitions, Cap in Hand

The Burari session of the Congress, NDA rally, JPC-PAC sparring, onion and scams, are all building up to a lively election season beginning early next year - Tamilnadu, West Bengal, Kerala, Pondicherry, Assam, leading to UP elections in 2012 and the General Elections in 2014.

Sri Lanka: A strident message across the Palk Strait
Sep 13, 2013

Sri Lanka: A strident message across the Palk Strait

Tamil National Alliance (TNA) chief ministerial candidate for the Northern Provincial Council (NPC) elections in Sri Lanka, Justice C V Wigneswaran, could not have said it more candidly and categorically.

Sri Lanka: Critical polls caught between COVID-19 and Constitution
May 06, 2020

Sri Lanka: Critical polls caught between COVID-19 and Constitution

While the government wants early elections despite mixed reports about its handling of the COVID-19 crisis — the opposition wants the polls postponed.

Sri Lanka: Poll Results and the Peace Process
Apr 06, 2004

Sri Lanka: Poll Results and the Peace Process

The just-concluded parliamentary polls in Sri Lanka may have a lesson or two for political parties in India, which too is facing elections in the coming weeks. If past parallels are any indicator of a sub-continental voter-behaviour, the average Sri Lankan has gone with bread-and-butter issues, highlighted by the United People¿s Freedom Alliance (UPFA)

Sri Lanka: Tamil separatists putting India on notice again?
Jun 09, 2015

Sri Lanka: Tamil separatists putting India on notice again?

With Tamil Nadu Assembly elections due by May next year and an anti-Jaya political realignment likely on cards, the Sri Lankan Tamil 'separatists' appear to be trying to drive a wedge between political parties in Tamil Nadu. The purpose seems to be to try and embarrass prospective allies of the DMK.

Statehood for Delhi: Chasing a Chimera
Jun 15, 2018

Statehood for Delhi: Chasing a Chimera

The question of full statehood for Delhi has occupied the national limelight since the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)’s landslide victory in the assembly elections of 2015. To be sure, the demand for statehood for Delhi has been on the slow burner since the time of the country’s independence; however, it was in the past three years that it gained considerable pace. While the last seven decades have witnessed nearly all major national parties advocatin

Super PACs and campaign fundraising: Sky is the limit
Jul 08, 2015

Super PACs and campaign fundraising: Sky is the limit

The amount of money which are expected to be raised and spent in the campaigns leading to the US Presidential elections of 2016 are being seen as unprecedented. At the centre of this complex cycle between big money and US election campaigns are the new breed of organisations called the Super PACs.

Talks alone can solve Kashmir problem
Dec 14, 2013

Talks alone can solve Kashmir problem

It is obvious that the Kashmir problem has to be resolved only through negotiations between the two Prime Ministers. With the recent election results from the four States going against the UPA, it is likely that Pakistan may not make an effective push towards a solution of the issue till the next parliamentary elections are over.

Talks of US leaving Afghanistan Premature
Oct 10, 2011

Talks of US leaving Afghanistan Premature

The Indo-Afghanistan strategic partnership is also an important backup for the region because of uncertainties on account of the run upto the US Presidential elections in November 2012.

The Challenges in Muizzu's Maldives: A Stocktaking
Apr 05, 2024

The Challenges in Muizzu's Maldives: A Stocktaking

Mohamed Muizzu was sworn in as the seventh president of the Maldives in November 2023 after intense electoral competition with seven other candidates and a highly competitive second round. However, his administration’s five-year term will not be without challenges. Muizzu’s rise to power comes at a time when the archipelago is experiencing significant domestic and strategic challenges. As the Maldives gears up for parliamentary elections in l

The China challenge takes centre stage in Asian polls
Apr 25, 2019

The China challenge takes centre stage in Asian polls

China’s role in reshaping the political milieu in many countries is causing a sense of unease

The conflict in Democratic Republic of Congo
Oct 10, 2016

The conflict in Democratic Republic of Congo

In the present crisis in Congo there is a possibility of escalation of violence if Kabila continues to find reasons to postpone elections

The Hasina Homerun
Jan 12, 2024

The Hasina Homerun

How Delhi can make the most of its ties with Dhaka

The identity fault lines of a West Bengal voter
Jun 19, 2019

The identity fault lines of a West Bengal voter

The fallout of this election forefronts the fault lines in the Bengali identity whose syncretic political and cultural climate has now been marred by religious insecurities.

The last lap of America’s Presidential polls
Oct 21, 2020

The last lap of America’s Presidential polls

The US election is just two weeks away. While it is still unpredictable, the probability of Trump winning is getting lower due to a variety of reasons

The mirage of US-China detente
May 28, 2024

The mirage of US-China detente

Blinken’s visit may be another way of signalling to China that it shouldn’t exploit any crisis to escalate new ones, at least until the US elections are over

The MMA and its Future
Feb 27, 2004

The MMA and its Future

The strong showing of the six religious party¿s alliance, Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA) in the October 2002 general elections in Pakistan has led to apprehensions among the tribe of Pakistan watchers worldwide about the inexorable slide of a nuclear-armed Pakistan towards ¿talibanisation¿.

The Modi govt's real test is yet to come
May 27, 2015

The Modi govt's real test is yet to come

The real test for any government is elections - both state and central. The Narendra Modi government faces one later this year when elections will take place to the Bihar.

The morality play in economic policy
Nov 10, 2017

The morality play in economic policy

Morality is a slippery slope to tread in public affairs. It’s certainly an individual virtue, but at a societal level it’s difficult to define.

The rise of null politics
Mar 15, 2017

The rise of null politics

The elections of this motley crew, with their limited interest in liberalism, has been dubbed the ‘rise of the right’ across the world.

The Road to Inclusive Democracy: Measuring the Political Participation of Women in India (1951-2019)
Aug 18, 2022

The Road to Inclusive Democracy: Measuring the Political Participation of Women in India (1951-2019)

This paper analyses historical trends in women’s participation in Indian democracy as voters, contestants, and legislators, using data on state assembly elections between the first one in 1951, and 2019. The paper finds that India is witnessing a strengthening of its democracy as measured in terms of an unprecedented growth in the political participation of women in these three roles. In these 73 years of Indian democracy, the turnout of women

The Suu Kyi factor in China's Myanmar policy
Jun 12, 2015

The Suu Kyi factor in China's Myanmar policy

As Myanmar's general elections draws nearer and at a time when China's relations with Myanmar's military-backed government comes under increasing strains in recent months, Beijing seems to be stepping up its multiple-engagement strategy with key political actors to prepare itself for any eventuality post-elections.

The trail Trump’s blazing
Nov 16, 2016

The trail Trump’s blazing

Trump phenomenon will play out in the world with uncertaintyonly going to grow in years to come as democracies take recourse to rising tides of nationalism

The tussle for the Iranian Presidency
May 13, 2005

The tussle for the Iranian Presidency

Iranians take their soccer seriously. Iran's victory over Bahrain last week in the World Cup qualifier resulted in an outburst of rejoicing rarely seen in Teheran. Men and women (some without head scarves) danced on the streets and tore up posters of candidates in the June 17 presidential elections. The police did not interfere. Credible foreign observers have not confirmed reports of police brutality carried by some opposition news channels in t

The umpire takes all
Jul 30, 2018

The umpire takes all

While the opposition and his coalition partners will keep Imran Khan in check, Pakistan’s Army will call the shots

The US election just became more uncertain
Oct 10, 2020

The US election just became more uncertain

Opinion polls could be misleading and the pandemic’s impact difficult to assess; the cyclical shift in politics is unsure

Three years and counting: The Modi administration
Jun 05, 2017

Three years and counting: The Modi administration

The BJP has achieved a lot in the areas of governance, growth and ease of doing business. The party currently appears to be in a strong position for the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

To stay in the reckoning, Rahul has a lot to do
May 24, 2019

To stay in the reckoning, Rahul has a lot to do

In a grim, status quoist scenario, Rahul Gandhi has a task to keep himself in the reckoning.

TRS may spoil the Congress's political game plan in Telengana
Mar 14, 2014

TRS may spoil the Congress's political game plan in Telengana

Since the Telangana Rashtra Samiti is likely to win most of the 17 Lok Sabha seats in the Telangana region on its own, its unwillingness to share the seats with the Congress party is understandable. In such a scenario, the Congress party's prospects in the general elections in the whole of Andhra Pradesh, including Telangana, are indeed bleak.

Trump and the 'polarised states of America' and the world
Nov 18, 2016

Trump and the 'polarised states of America' and the world

Trump victory has defied conventional wisdom and the worst culprit has been the American media, which persistently spewed anti-Trump news and commentaries.

Trump win could be a game-changer for Asia
Oct 12, 2016

Trump win could be a game-changer for Asia

Obama has had to modify his China policy in response to a more aggressive China. But present challengers are set for big changes in America's Asia policy

Trump’s appeal has its limits for India and Indian Americans
Nov 04, 2016

Trump’s appeal has its limits for India and Indian Americans

With US elections on anvil who is the safer bet for India and Indian Americans — Trump or Clinton?

Trump’s foreign economic agenda may have pitfalls for India
Nov 29, 2016

Trump’s foreign economic agenda may have pitfalls for India

Trump campaign likely to remain main drivers of his administration – trade & immigration. While latter is domestic in scope former will have ramifications

Turkey Says ‘No’ to Presidential Government
Jun 25, 2015

Turkey Says ‘No’ to Presidential Government

The general elections of 7 June 2015 were Turkey's last scheduled elections until the next one in 2019. Coming at a time when the country and its neighbours are on the brink of profound transformation, and given the increasing complexity of the socio-political situation in the Middle East, the elections results may well re-define the direction of West Asian politics for some time to come.

Ukraine has got another lifeline but it may be clutching at straws
Apr 24, 2024

Ukraine has got another lifeline but it may be clutching at straws

A new US aid package for Kyiv can’t mask the fact that its American support has been wearing out

Understanding the complexities of the Afghan peace process
Apr 26, 2018

Understanding the complexities of the Afghan peace process

Afghanistan President Ashraf Ghani’s bold peace offer to the Taliban has aroused hopes of peace in the country torn by war for many years now. In a sweeping proposal made at the Kabul Process conference in February, President Ghani offered a ceasefire, the removal of sanctions, release of prisoners, the recognition of the Taliban as a political party, the conduct of fresh elections, and a review of the constitution. He repeated his offer in Mar

Understanding the Unique Nature of Political Violence in Bengal
Mar 28, 2022

Understanding the Unique Nature of Political Violence in Bengal

In many countries across the world, democracy and political violence can be inseparable. Even the most advanced western democracies have not escaped this pitfall. For the young republic that is India, political violence is commonly linked to electoral politics and in many instances, is episodic. States such as Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Kerala, for example, have had a long history of violent incidents erupting during elections. West Bengal

UP polls: Mayawati may have the upper hand
Sep 20, 2016

UP polls: Mayawati may have the upper hand

If Mayawati plays her cards correctly she will dictate terms in the upcoming UP elections.

Urban development in Delhi & Rajasthan: Some progress, large disparities
Nov 30, 2013

Urban development in Delhi & Rajasthan: Some progress, large disparities

As Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Mizoram go through the process of Assembly elections, ORF Urban Policy research team looks at development patterns in these States. Here is a preview of "Book of Charts", covering Delhi and Rajasthan, on the status and developments in such important areas as employment, education and infrastructure, etc.

US in a changing order
Sep 29, 2020

US in a changing order

It will be a world where neither America nor China can set the terms