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The Bangladesh Army: Documenting its Corporate Interests
Nov 24, 2010

The Bangladesh Army: Documenting its Corporate Interests

Little is known and even less understood about the 2,00,000-strong Bangladesh Army's corporate interests. The importance of the subject owes itself to the fact that the army has been a veritable power of stability in a country that has been dogged by decades of unending political turmoil. The fact that the Army had to step in to keep the country from slipping into a political abyss in 2006 underlines the criticality of its role in providing stabi

The BRICS view on Iran: India's motivations
Apr 20, 2012

The BRICS view on Iran: India's motivations

The problem with imposing sanctions on a country which has the world's third largest proven reserves of oil and second largest conventional natural gas reserves is that the implications are felt globally. The price of oil is highly correlated throughout the world due to market arbitrage.

The Canadian election, shaped by Trudeau and Trump
Mar 26, 2025

The Canadian election, shaped by Trudeau and Trump

Whoever wins will have the task of steering Canada amid domestic and foreign policy constraints

The China factor in the global coal market
May 10, 2012

The China factor in the global coal market

The idea of energy security which was hitherto rooted in the supply and price of oil has now been expanded to include concerns over the availability and trade of coal. The key concern is the demand growth from China and its impact on coal price and availability, given the level of concentration in its sources of supply.

The Economic Rationale for India to Maintain Ties with Sanctions-Afflicted Russia
Dec 18, 2023

The Economic Rationale for India to Maintain Ties with Sanctions-Afflicted Russia

Russia is now the world’s most heavily sanctioned country, with unprecedented punitive action targeting its energy exports, central bank, and other sectors. Given Russia’s economic resilience amid such economic restrictions and India’s dependence on Russia for its defence and energy requirements, this issue brief highlights the economic rationale for New Delhi to maintain existing trade ties with Moscow despite continued geopolitical pressu

The Future of Food: Reimagining Climate-Resilient Food Systems in the Post-Pandemic World
Jul 03, 2022

The Future of Food: Reimagining Climate-Resilient Food Systems in the Post-Pandemic World

Thinking about the future of global food systems has now become more critical than ever. Climate change impacts—among them, shifts in soil quality, precipitation, pest regimes, seasonal growth patterns, along with land degradation and reduction in biodiversity—have impacted agricultural and aquatic food production systems across the world. Indeed, the causal links between climate change and food security are manifesting more clearly, particul

The granting of exemptions from US sanctions on Iran: An analysis of its implications
Nov 22, 2018

The granting of exemptions from US sanctions on Iran: An analysis of its implications

In an effort to financially hobble Iran, the United States mandated nations to halt their imports of crude from the country by early November, or else risk attracting sanctions themselves from Washington. Not long after, the US announced that eight nations will be exempted from these sanctions, supposedly in recognition of their effort to cut down on their imports of Iranian oil. This brief argues that while it is true that certain countries did

The Hasina Homerun
Jan 12, 2024

The Hasina Homerun

How Delhi can make the most of its ties with Dhaka

The IS threat: India is not on the frontline
Aug 04, 2015

The IS threat: India is not on the frontline

India need not be concerned over the Islamic narrative in the country which, in any case, has produced a remarkable quiescent Muslim community in an era of turmoil in the Islamic world. What the Union Home Ministry needs to worry about are the growing instances of communal violence in the country in the past year.

The Jihadi Factor in India-Pakistan Peace Process
May 01, 2006

The Jihadi Factor in India-Pakistan Peace Process

The India-Pakistan peace process, punctuated with -uctuating waves of optimism and anxiety, has completed three years, and it is appropriate, and timely, to review whether the primary On April 22, 2003 the Indian Prime Minister, Mr Atal Bihari Vajpayee, told the Indian Parliament that India was unilaterally opening “the doors for talks” with Pakistan. The offer was based on two simple premises: one, that Pakistan would stop cross-border in

The Qatari Conundrum: The Changing face of West Asia’s Political Landscape
Aug 02, 2013

The Qatari Conundrum: The Changing face of West Asia’s Political Landscape

Qatar is creating a large footprint for itself in the West Asian Qpolitical landscape. The Gulf state was previously known primarily for its oil and gas reserves, and compliance with US interests in the region. However, Qatar has in the recent past made significant efforts to assert regional pre-eminence through an aggressive foreign policy. Emir Shaikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, who recently handed over the reins of power to his son, Tamim bin

The reshaping global order is Iranian economy's best chance in decades
Jul 28, 2023

The reshaping global order is Iranian economy's best chance in decades

Iran’s oil sales are at a five-year high as the US looks the other way despite sanctions. Iran is smartly undercutting Russia in selling cheaper oil and upset Saudi Arabia’s plan to profiteer from production cuts. The new world order being shaped amid the US-China battle for global supremacy equally belongs to countries charting independent paths

The Saudi pivot to Asia and India’s role
Feb 28, 2019

The Saudi pivot to Asia and India’s role

MBS’ tour is an important one as it goes beyond the bilateral ties and at a time when anti-Saudi sentiment is at an all-time high in Washington, it has sent an important signal that Riyadh is intent on diversifying its partners.

The Storm in the Arab Spring
Mar 03, 2012

The Storm in the Arab Spring

Tunisia, Eygpt, Syria?events may seem to be following a pattern but the changing dynamics in West Asia point to far more complex political and strategic games being played: The US role, Saudi phobia, Israeli and Iranian intrigues. Oil. And, to top it all, the Shia-Sunni face-off. Is Turkey being lured in as a possible Joker in the pack? Welcome to another Great Game.

The Trump challenge to India Iran ties
Jun 11, 2018

The Trump challenge to India Iran ties

The Narendra Modi government has shown signs that it doesn’t mean to let Trump’s stance on Iran derail the oil trade with it

The Ukraine crisis: Its impact on India
Feb 22, 2022

The Ukraine crisis: Its impact on India

India has to tread a fine line in this imbroglio: Taking care of the welfare and evacuation of Indian students and the possibility of oil price hike

The US-Iran Standoff and India
Feb 04, 2012

The US-Iran Standoff and India

While India would be hoping that the reported secret talks between the US and Iran succeeds, avoiding a conflict, New Delhi could take a leaf out of the Chinese and Japanese strategy of reducing its exposure to Iranian oil in return for a waiver from US sanctions.

The war in Ukraine and its economic fallout
Mar 24, 2022

The war in Ukraine and its economic fallout

New Delhi’s decision to import oil from Moscow has disappointed the US and UK, but urging us not to do so as that would help the Russian economy is blatant hypocrisy.

Towards an Inclusive National Policy on Menstrual Health and Hygiene
Nov 29, 2023

Towards an Inclusive National Policy on Menstrual Health and Hygiene

In April 2023, the Supreme Court of India advocated for the government to establish a "uniform national policy" on menstrual health and hygiene (MHH), spotlighting the need for comprehensive measures on a significant public health issue. This brief traces India's path to promoting MHH, highlighting key policy initiatives and their impact on period product usage. Using secondary data from the National Family Health Survey-5, this brief introduces

Twin crises in the Gulf: Implications for India
Apr 30, 2020

Twin crises in the Gulf: Implications for India

Countries in the Gulf region are facing a proverbial perfect storm: oil demand falling to its lowest levels in decades, disagreements within the group of oil-exporting nations on supply cuts, and the COVID-19 pandemic. The plummeting of oil prices is affecting these countries’ fiscal positions, business sentiments, and economic growth. India has stakes in all this; after all, the country has strong economic, commercial and diaspora ties with th

Understanding the Gender Dimensions of Energy Poverty
Jun 08, 2021

Understanding the Gender Dimensions of Energy Poverty

Among the estimated 1.3 billion people across the world who have no access to electricity, 70 percent are women. This brief discusses the impact of energy poverty on India’s rural women. As women are primarily responsible for securing food and energy for their family, they are the ones who are worst affected by the lack of access to clean and modern energy. The brief calls for a more holistic approach in research and policymaking on energ

US Secondary Sanctions and Petroleum Imports: Safeguarding India’s Energy Security
Apr 06, 2022

US Secondary Sanctions and Petroleum Imports: Safeguarding India’s Energy Security

The drastic and sudden drop in Venezuelan and Iranian oil exports to India in 2019-2020, due to the looming threat of US secondary sanctions, is the latest supply chain disruption to India’s energy security. To avoid similar disruptions in the future, India must act decisively to increase its Strategic Petroleum Reserves to meet at least 90 days of emergency oil stocks, and combine lobbying efforts between India’s private and public oil compa

Vietnam ropes in stakeholders to  counter China territorial dispute
Jan 24, 2014

Vietnam ropes in stakeholders to counter China territorial dispute

Hanoi's decision in granting oil blocks to New Delhi could make China uneasy as Chinese foreign policy, especially towards the South China Sea and the East China Sea, has undergone a major shift in the last few years.

Waiting to Explode: Piracy in the Gulf of Guinea
Oct 09, 2013

Waiting to Explode: Piracy in the Gulf of Guinea

This paper aims to analyse the reasons for the rise of piracy in the Gulf of Guinea, its characteristics, the primary drivers for the growing menace and international responses; it also compares the differences in modus operandi between Gulf of Guinea and Somalian piracy. Till the early 1980s, piracy was often dismissed as being “archaic Tand folklore of the past”, rarely entering the main maritime discourse. But true to its nature, ‘moder

West Asia protests: India must have contingency plans ready
Feb 08, 2011

West Asia protests: India must have contingency plans ready

Prolonged turmoil in the West Asia region could result in rising oil prices and interruption in India's trade with the region valued at $120 billion a year. India should have contingency plans in place to deal with unforeseeable consequences of a spreading conflagration.

West Asia's changing contours
Nov 26, 2013

West Asia's changing contours

The US interest in West Asia is declining as domestic economic and political uncertainties make it look more and more inwards. The shale oil and gas boom is transforming energy markets with the US likely to emerge as the world's biggest combined oil and gas producer this year. These trends are reshaping the regional order in West Asia and New Delhi will have to respond pro-actively to preserve and enhance its own interests in a strategically crit

What after KG D6 - Challenges for India's Energy Security
Nov 01, 2011

What after KG D6 - Challenges for India's Energy Security

Studies done in ORF estimate that even with everything in our favour, India will be hard put to exceed a thermal coal based capacity beyond 300 GW. In such a scenario, how do we better harness our oil and gas potential and fulfill the great promise that lies hidden in our vast unexplored acreages.

What lies ahead for Pakistan
Apr 03, 2013

What lies ahead for Pakistan

In the coming Pakistan elections, the PPP cannot be written off because it has substantial pockets of support across various provinces. But it deserves some sympathy. Asif Zardari has not had an easy time with the media which had deemed him corrupt from day one or the judiciary and the military which have foiled all his efforts to come up with bold policies.

Why New Delhi should not ignore Tehran
Jun 02, 2012

Why New Delhi should not ignore Tehran

Though India has decided to cut down oil from Iran and thereby, for the time being, might have placated the US, it, however, cannot afford to ignore Iran either - for a myriad of reasons.

Why reforms only for petrol pricing?
Nov 09, 2011

Why reforms only for petrol pricing?

National oil companies have raised petrol prices again and, predictably, everyone is up in arms. Didi promises to lead the charge. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister's muted support for price hike notwithstanding.

Why the Saudi Crown Prince’s visit to India is a diplomatic success
Feb 25, 2019

Why the Saudi Crown Prince’s visit to India is a diplomatic success

Narendra Modi’s West Asia policy remains the one area of achievement in an otherwise indifferent record of foreign policy.

Will Energiewende fail? An examination of Germany’s transition to a low-carbon future
Apr 02, 2018

Will Energiewende fail? An examination of Germany’s transition to a low-carbon future

Germany’s image as the leader in green energy and the creator of “Energiewende” (energy transition) is under siege. According to a recent study, the self-committed goal to reduce carbon emissions by 40 percent by 2020 will likely be missed. This potential shortcoming does not come as a surprise to Germany and has been an intensively discussed issue for many years. Does this mean the end of Germany’s energy transition? This paper anal

Will western intervention for Africa's minerals also check-mate China?
Jan 28, 2013

Will western intervention for Africa's minerals also check-mate China?

The arrival of the French in Mali could well be the beginning of link ups across the oil and mineral rich regions stretching from Sudan across Chad, Niger, Mali, Mauritania and Western Sahara.

Working with Tehran on the Red Sea crisis
Jan 19, 2024

Working with Tehran on the Red Sea crisis

Regional security in West Asia stands at a precarious intersection.

अफगाणिस्तान-चीन यांच्यातील तेल करार
Aug 23, 2023

अफगाणिस्तान-चीन यांच्यातील तेल करार

अफगाणिस्तान-चीन सहकार्याच्या भविष्यासाठी तेल करार ही मूलभूत चाचणी असू शकते.

अफगाणिस्तानात चीन फसणार?
Aug 17, 2023

अफगाणिस्तानात चीन फसणार?

अफगाणिस्तान ही चीनसाठी एक महत्त्वपूर्ण भूराजकीय परीक्षा असेल. पण जेथे बाकीच्यांना अपयश आले आहे, तेथे चीनला यश येईल का?

अमेरिका-इराण संघर्ष भारतासाठी चिंताजनक
Jun 21, 2019

अमेरिका-इराण संघर्ष भारतासाठी चिंताजनक

अमेरिका-इराण संघर्षात भारतासह अनेक आशियाई अर्थव्यवस्थांचे मोठे नुकसान आहे. कारण हे देश मध्यपूर्वेतील तेलाचे सर्वात मोठे ग्राहक आहेत.

आदर्श पड़ोस एक मिथ्या
Sep 11, 2024

आदर्श पड़ोस एक मिथ्या

भारत की सफलता इसी पर निर्भर करेगी कि वह अपनी भौगोलिक परिधि के पहलू को किनारे रखकर एक प्रमुख वैश्विक शक्ति के रूप में स्थापित होने के पुरजोर प्रयास करे. 

इंडो-पॅसिफिकमधील युद्धरेषा आणि वलयांकीत पाणी
Apr 20, 2023

इंडो-पॅसिफिकमधील युद्धरेषा आणि वलयांकीत पाणी

इंडो-पॅसिफिकमधील युद्धरेषा स्पष्टपणे परिभाषित होत आहेत.

इंडो-पॅसिफिकसह NATO चे सहकार्य सखोल होण्याची शक्यता
Aug 03, 2023

इंडो-पॅसिफिकसह NATO चे सहकार्य सखोल होण्याची शक्यता

टोकियो संपर्क कार्यालयाची योजना सध्या होल्डवर असूनही, इंडो-पॅसिफिकसह NATO चे सहकार्य अधिक सखोल होण्याची शक्यता आहे.

इराण-सौदीच्या भांडणात जग वेठीस
Oct 11, 2019

इराण-सौदीच्या भांडणात जग वेठीस

तेलावरून युद्ध झालेच तर त्याचा तेलाच्या किंमती भयानक चढतील, त्यामुळे केवळ मध्य-पूर्वेतील नव्हे तर संपूर्ण जागतिक अर्थव्यवस्थाच कोलमडून पडू शकते.

उर्जा सुरक्षेसाठी धोरण
Apr 07, 2025

उर्जा सुरक्षेसाठी धोरण

ट्रम्प यांच्या स्वयंपूर्णतेच्या मार्गाला अल्पकालीन लाभ आहेत, परंतु मोदींचे वैविध्यपूर्ण स्रोत हे दीर्घकाळासाठी अधिक चांगले पर्याय आहेत

कच्च्या तेलाच्या किमतीचे अंदाज चुकीचेच अधिक
Nov 18, 2023

कच्च्या तेलाच्या किमतीचे अंदाज चुकीचेच अधिक

तेलाच्या किमतींमध्ये दिसणाऱ्या चढ-उतारातून आर्थिक परिवर्तनाचे एक रंजक उदाहरण तयार होते- जरी आपल्याला ते समजले तरी, त्याचा अंदाज लावण्यास आपण पूर्णपणे अक्षम आहोत.

कर्जासाठी तेल: रशियामध्ये चीनची ऊर्जा गुंतवणूक
Sep 14, 2023

कर्जासाठी तेल: रशियामध्ये चीनची ऊर्जा गुंतवणूक

चीनच्या ऊर्जा विषयक वाढत्या गरजा पूर्ण करण्यासाठी, त्यांच्या कर्जासाठी- तेल- धोरणातून, लवचिक जागतिक ऊर्जा पुरवठा साखळी तयार करण्याची चीनची गरज चीन-रशिया या उभय देशांतील �

कोरोनाला हरवून पुन्हा जोडू मातीशी नाते
Jun 05, 2020

कोरोनाला हरवून पुन्हा जोडू मातीशी नाते

पर्यावरण दिनाच्या निमित्ताने निसर्गाशी असलेले आपले नाते पुन्हा एकदा समजून घेतले तर, भविष्यात लॉकडाऊनचा हा ‘कारावास’ पुन्हा माणसाच्या वाट्याला येणार नाही.

क्या बांग्लादेश पर भारत से हुई कोई चूक
Aug 16, 2024

क्या बांग्लादेश पर भारत से हुई कोई चूक

जैसे-जैसे बड़ी ताकतों के बीच जियो-पॉलिटिकल होड़ तेज होगी, वैसे-वैसे भारत के पड़ोसी देशों पर असर पड़ेगा. शेख हसीना की सरकार का गिरना इसका एक उदाहरण है.

क्रूड तेलाच्या निर्यातीतून मिळणारा महसूल घसरला
Sep 28, 2023

क्रूड तेलाच्या निर्यातीतून मिळणारा महसूल घसरला

अत्यंत स्वस्त दरात कच्च्या तेलाची उपलब्धता ही लवकरच भूतकाळातील गोष्ट बनू शकते.

जग नव्या तेलयुद्धाच्या सावटाखाली
Apr 10, 2020

जग नव्या तेलयुद्धाच्या सावटाखाली

जगभर कोरोनाच्या महामारीशी जग दोन हात करत असताना, दुसरीकडे तेलाच्या अर्थकारणावरील वर्चस्वाची लढाई लढली जाते आहे. ही लढाई साऱ्या जगासाठी चिंतेचा विषय आहे.