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In 2022, low- and middle-income countries spent a record US$443.5 billion on external public debt servicing, diverting funds from crucial sectors like health, education, and environmental conservation. Projections indicate a 10 percent increase in debt servicing expenses for all developing countries in 2023–24, with low-income countries facing nearly a 40 percent rise. This ongoing debt crisis in the Global South highlights the need for innovative solutions.
This article advocates why India and Sri Lanka would gain from engaging in green debt swaps, with a focus on India's motivations and potential benefits. Sri Lanka has long grappled with financial challenges such as high debt levels, insufficient foreign reserves, and trade imbalances. Compounded by persistent political instability, the country faced an economic crisis, highlighted by an unmanageable debt burden. Despite engaging in debt-restructuring with creditors and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Sri Lanka's heavy debt curtails its ability to allocate resources to climate mitigation, adaptation, or environmental conservation efforts.
By engaging in a green debt swap with its heavily indebted neighbour, India would not only alleviate its external debt burden while leveraging environmental, economic and geopolitical benefits but also align with its commitment to sustainability.
India, a regional ally and stakeholder, seeks to promote sustainable development and regional stability, particularly in neighbouring countries like Sri Lanka. By engaging in a green debt swap with its heavily indebted neighbour, India would not only alleviate its external debt burden while leveraging environmental, economic and geopolitical benefits but also align with its commitment to sustainability. This would position India alongside developed nations offering such agreements and set a precedent for mutually beneficial assistance between developing countries.
What are green debt swaps?
'Debt-for-nature' and 'debt-for-climate' swaps, collectively referred to as green debt swaps, are debt-restructuring mechanisms where a country reduces its foreign debt in exchange for environmental protection commitments. While debt-for-nature emphasises conservation, debt-for-climate supports climate mitigation initiatives like renewable energy. Green debt swaps address the dual challenges faced by developing nations of borrowing for development and adapting their approaches to combat climate change and biodiversity loss.
Recent successful swaps include; Seychelles and Belize converted parts of their debts for ocean protection efforts; Cape Verde converted part of its debt for investments in renewable energy production and Ecuador converted a large part of its debt in exchange conservation efforts and protection of wildlife on the Galapagos Islands.
Sri Lanka’s overlooked investment opportunities
Due to its staggering debt burden, Sri Lanka has been engaged in debt-restructuring talks with creditors and the IMF. Its overwhelming debt obligations have already impaired the country politically, socially and economically, thereby severely constraining its ability to commit resources to climate mitigation or adaptation or any meaningful environmental protection or conservation efforts.
The outcome of these debt renegotiations will likely be some form of austerity package that may lead to social unrest, increased inequality, and hamper overall economic growth in the short-term. Green debt swaps could help alleviate this pressure, not only through debt reduction but also through job creation in green energy, climate-resilient infrastructure, eco-tourism and nature conservation. These sectors, often sidelined during economic downturns, hold promise for sustainable recovery and long-term resilience.
Green debt swaps could help alleviate this pressure, not only through debt reduction but also through job creation in green energy, climate-resilient infrastructure, eco-tourism and nature conservation.
Debt-for-climate swaps with India would allow “forgiven debt” to fund Sri Lanka’s renewable energy sector, which currently relies heavily on biofuels and hydropower, with much overlooked solar and wind projects. Despite a significant portion of its power generation coming from renewables (49.5 percent), solar and wind contribute less than 0.5 percent to the country’s total energy mix, signalling a pressing need for diversification to mitigate Sri Lanka's energy vulnerability.
Sri Lanka’s heavy reliance on imported fossil fuels strains its foreign exchange reserves, a major factor contributing to the country’s default. Due to a lack of investment capital, this reliance impedes financing for its renewable energy sector and its broader transition to sustainable energy. A study by the World Bank indicated that Sri Lanka could harness up to 56GW of sustainable ocean energy through offshore wind projects alone in its coastal waters. Moreover, Sri Lanka’s waters are also recognised to also have great potential for ocean energy in the form of tidal and wave energy. Despite initial costs, these resources could significantly contribute to long-term energy security.
Why should India engage in green debt swaps?
- Geopolitical gains:
- Strengthening regional influence: By offering debt relief through green swaps, India can position itself as a key player in South Asian diplomacy and environmental leadership.
- Countering Chinese influence: As China is Sri Lanka's largest bilateral creditor, India's involvement in debt relief can help balance power dynamics in the region. The island nation's strategic location makes it indispensable for India's security interests. Aiding its neighbour in tackling its debt crisis reflects India's broader geopolitical strategy of maintaining a balance of power in the region.
- Geoeconomic benefits:
- Expanding economic footprint: Green swaps can open doors for Indian businesses in Sri Lanka's renewable energy and conservation sectors.
- Enhancing energy security: Investments in Sri Lanka's renewable energy infrastructure can potentially lead to energy-sharing agreements, benefiting both nations. The proposed US$1.2 billion bi-directional undersea electricity cable, serving as an “energy corridor” between Sri Lanka and India, presents an excellent opportunity for incorporation into a Debt-for-Climate swap.
- Environmental leadership and shared ecosystems:
- Demonstrating commitment to global climate goals: This approach aligns with India's international climate commitments and enhances its reputation as a responsible global actor.
- Regional ecosystem protection: Investing in Sri Lanka's environmental conservation directly benefits India due to shared ecosystems and maritime boundaries. For instance, conservation efforts in the India-Sri Lanka transboundary area of Palk Bay are vital for both countries. By supporting Sri Lanka's investments in biodiversity preservation and sustainable fisheries management, India indirectly safeguards its own marine resources and interests.
- Promoting renewable energy: Supporting Sri Lanka's transition from imported fossil fuels to domestic renewable energy aligns with India's own sustainability goals and can create opportunities for knowledge sharing and technology transfer.
- Diplomatic soft power:
- Showcasing an alternative development model: India can present itself as a partner in sustainable development, differentiating its approach from traditional creditors.
- Strengthening bilateral ties: Assisting Sri Lanka in addressing its debt crisis while promoting environmental initiatives can significantly enhance India-Sri Lanka relations.
- Economic spillover effects:
- Job creation and capacity building: Supporting Sri Lanka's green initiatives can lead to job creation and advance capacity building in energy sustainability, potentially benefiting Indian companies and experts involved in these projects.
- Technology transfer: Green debt swaps can facilitate the transfer of renewable energy and conservation technologies from India to Sri Lanka, creating new markets for Indian green tech firms.
- Innovative financial mechanisms:
- Pioneering new approaches: By engaging in Green Debt Swaps, India can position itself as an innovator in sustainable finance, potentially leading to similar arrangements with other countries in the region.
- Forex conservation: These swaps allow Sri Lanka to invest in crucial environmental initiatives using local currency, indirectly benefiting India by promoting economic stability in its immediate neighbourhood.
To make green debt swaps more attractive for India, the following product-level innovations could be considered:
- Transboundary carbon credits: Develop a mechanism where India receives a portion of the carbon credits generated from Sri Lanka's green projects funded by the debt swap.
- Green technology transfer programme: Include provisions for Indian companies to transfer green technologies to Sri Lanka as part of the swap agreement, creating new markets for Indian green tech firms.
- Green tourism corridor: Create a special tourism programme focusing on eco-tourism between the two countries, boosting the tourism sector while promoting conservation.
- Sustainable fisheries partnership: Develop a joint programme for sustainable fishing practices in shared waters, ensuring food security and protecting marine ecosystems.
Conclusion
There are a multitude of reasons why some form of relief or forgiveness of some of Sri Lanka’s crippling sovereign debt is in India’s interest. By engaging in green debt swaps with Sri Lanka, India can address multiple strategic objectives simultaneously. It can help alleviate Sri Lanka's debt burden, promote environmental conservation, enhance regional energy security, strengthen its geopolitical position, and demonstrate leadership in sustainable development. This multifaceted approach not only serves India's immediate interests but also contributes to long-term regional stability and ecological balance, positioning India as a forward-thinking leader in South Asia.
Anirudh Rastogi is the Founder and Managing Partner at Ikigai Law.
Daniel Odisho works at Ikigai Law as a Sustainability Consultant.
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